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Predictions › South Africa › Chippa United vs Kruger United
South African PremiershipSat 17 Oct, 15:30 South Africa time

Chippa United vs Kruger United prediction

Buffalo City Stadium

Chippa UnitedHome
0.80 : 0.95
expected goals
Kruger UnitedAway
28%Chippa Utd
35%Draw
37%Kruger
Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chippa United vs Kruger United is Kruger United to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Kruger United to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Chippa United 0.8, Kruger United 0.9
Best bet
Under 2.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
35%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
18% chanceFair price 5.541 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Chippa United 28%, the draw 35% and Kruger United 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Chippa United took 6 points from their last 5 games and Kruger United took 3 from 5. Chippa United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Chippa United won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Kruger United won 1 of their last 3 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Chippa United score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Kruger United score 0.4 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Chippa United games and 3 of Kruger United games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 2.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Krugerrecent form-4%
Chippa Utd form W D D D LKruger form L W L L LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Chippa United vs Kruger United: Kruger United shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Chippa United host Kruger United in the South African Premiership on Sat 17 Oct, 15:30 at Buffalo City Stadium. Our prediction for Chippa United vs Kruger United is Kruger United to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.33.

Chippa United form

Chippa United have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Kruger United form

Kruger United have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 7 games, with 3 goals scored and 12 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Chippa United to score about 0.8 goals and Kruger United about 0.9. That points to Kruger United to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 5.54.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Chippa UtdKruger
Games played207
Wins41
Draws91
Losses75
Goals scored183
Goals conceded2912
Scored per game0.90.4
Conceded per game1.41.7
Home record2W 4D 4L0W 0D 4L
Away record2W 5D 3L1W 1D 1L
Clean sheets35%29%
Both teams scored55%29%
Over 2.5 goals40%43%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals53%1.88
Over 2.5 goals26%3.88
Over 3.5 goals10%9.81
Both teams to score35%2.88
Chippa United or Draw63%1.58
Kruger United or Draw72%1.40
Chippa United to win and Over 2.510%10.18
Kruger United to win and Over 2.513%7.57
Chippa United clean sheet39%2.59
Kruger United clean sheet45%2.23

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-018.0%
0-115.7%
1-114.0%
1-013.1%
0-27.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Chippa United vs Kruger United?

Our prediction for Chippa United vs Kruger United is Kruger United to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Chippa United vs Kruger United?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-1. We expect Chippa United to score 0.8 goals and Kruger United 0.9.

Will both teams score in Chippa United vs Kruger United?

Both teams to score has a 35% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Chippa United last 20 games and 2 of Kruger United last 7.

How are Chippa United playing?

Chippa United have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Kruger United playing?

Kruger United have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 7 games, with 3 goals scored and 12 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Chippa United vs Kruger United?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Chippa Utd against Kruger. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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