Predictions › India › Churchill Brothers vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant

Indian Super LeagueSun 22 Nov, 19:30 India time

Churchill Brothers vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant prediction

Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium

CBChurchill BrothersHome

0.86 : 1.54

expected goals

Mohun Bagan Super GiantAway

20%Churchill

27%Draw

53%Mohun Bagan

Eagle safe pickMohun Bagan Super Giant or Draw

1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Churchill Brothers vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant is Mohun Bagan Super Giant to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Mohun Bagan Super Giant or Draw at 1.26.

Prediction: Mohun Bagan Super Giant to win
Chance: 53%
Most likely score: 0-1
Expected goals: Churchill Brothers 0.9, Mohun Bagan Super Giant 1.5
Best bet: Mohun Bagan Super Giant or Draw at 1.26
Both teams to score: 46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mohun Bagan Super Giant or Draw

79% chanceFair price 1.262 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mohun Bagan Super Giant to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price 3.561 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Churchill Brothers 20%, the draw 27% and Mohun Bagan Super Giant 53%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Churchill Brothers took 3 points from their last 4 games and Mohun Bagan Super Giant took 12 from 5. Mohun Bagan Super Giant come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Churchill Brothers won 1 of their last 4 games at home. Mohun Bagan Super Giant won 2 of their last 6 on the road.
4
Goals
Churchill Brothers score 1.0 goals a game and let in 2.5. Mohun Bagan Super Giant score 1.7 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Churchill Brothers games and 7 of Mohun Bagan Super Giant games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Mohun Bagan Super Giant or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Churchillrecent form-3%
Mohun Baganrecent form+4%

Churchill form L L L W DMohun Bagan form W W W W LHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Churchill Brothers vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant: Mohun Bagan Super Giant are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Churchill Brothers host Mohun Bagan Super Giant in the Indian Super League on Sun 22 Nov, 19:30 at Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium. Our prediction for Churchill Brothers vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant is Mohun Bagan Super Giant to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Mohun Bagan Super Giant or Draw at 1.26.

Churchill Brothers form

Churchill Brothers have 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 4 games, with 4 goals scored and 10 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses from 4. Their last 4 results read L, L, L, W, newest first.

Mohun Bagan Super Giant form

Mohun Bagan Super Giant have 11 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 18 games, with 31 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Churchill Brothers to score about 0.9 goals and Mohun Bagan Super Giant about 1.5. That points to Mohun Bagan Super Giant to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Mohun Bagan Super Giant or Draw at 1.26. Our bold bet is Mohun Bagan Super Giant to win and Over 2.5 at 3.56.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

	Churchill	Mohun Bagan
Games played	4	18
Wins	1	11
Draws	0	5
Losses	3	2
Goals scored	4	31
Goals conceded	10	14
Scored per game	1.0	1.7
Conceded per game	2.5	0.8
Home record	1W 0D 3L	9W 2D 1L
Away record	n/a	2W 3D 1L
Clean sheets	0%	33%
Both teams scored	50%	56%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	39%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	70%	1.43
Over 2.5 goals	43%	2.33
Over 3.5 goals	22%	4.53
Both teams to score	46%	2.18
Churchill Brothers or Draw	47%	2.11
Mohun Bagan Super Giant or Draw	80%	1.25
Churchill Brothers to win and Over 2.5	10%	10.23
Mohun Bagan Super Giant to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.50
Churchill Brothers clean sheet	21%	4.66
Mohun Bagan Super Giant clean sheet	42%	2.36

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-113.3%

1-112.7%

0-210.8%

0-09.8%

1-29.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Churchill Brothers vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant?

What is the score prediction for Churchill Brothers vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect Churchill Brothers to score 0.9 goals and Mohun Bagan Super Giant 1.5.

Will both teams score in Churchill Brothers vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Churchill Brothers last 4 games and 10 of Mohun Bagan Super Giant last 18.

How are Churchill Brothers playing?

How are Mohun Bagan Super Giant playing?

What is the best bet for Churchill Brothers vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant?

Mohun Bagan Super Giant or Draw at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Churchill against Mohun Bagan. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.