Predictions › India › Churchill Brothers vs Mumbai City FC
Indian Super LeagueSun 11 Oct, 19:30 India time

Churchill Brothers vs Mumbai City FC prediction

Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium

CBChurchill BrothersHome
0.77 : 1.41
expected goals
Mumbai City FCAway
20%Churchill
29%Draw
51%Mumbai City
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Churchill Brothers vs Mumbai City FC is Mumbai City FC to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Mumbai City FC to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Churchill Brothers 0.8, Mumbai City FC 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
41%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-1
15% chanceFair price 6.591 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Churchill Brothers 20%, the draw 29% and Mumbai City FC 51%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Churchillrecent form+3%
  • Mumbai City rest between games-3%
Churchill form D D D W WMumbai City form W W L D LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Churchill Brothers vs Mumbai City FC: Mumbai City FC are favourites

The big picture

Churchill Brothers host Mumbai City FC in the Indian Super League on Sun 11 Oct, 19:30 at Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium. Our prediction for Churchill Brothers vs Mumbai City FC is Mumbai City FC to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

Churchill Brothers form

Churchill Brothers have no recent games in our records yet.

Mumbai City FC form

Mumbai City FC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 13 games, with 17 goals scored and 9 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Churchill Brothers to score about 0.8 goals and Mumbai City FC about 1.4. That points to Mumbai City FC to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-1 at 6.59.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

ChurchillMumbai City
Games playedn/a13
Winsn/a7
Drawsn/a4
Lossesn/a2
Goals scoredn/a17
Goals concededn/a9
Scored per gamen/a1.3
Conceded per gamen/a0.7
Home recordn/a2W 2D 1L
Away recordn/a5W 2D 1L
Clean sheetsn/a54%
Both teams scoredn/a38%
Over 2.5 goalsn/a31%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.54
Over 2.5 goals37%2.69
Over 3.5 goals18%5.66
Both teams to score41%2.42
Churchill Brothers or Draw49%2.05
Mumbai City FC or Draw80%1.25
Churchill Brothers to win and Over 2.58%11.79
Mumbai City FC to win and Over 2.525%4.01
Churchill Brothers clean sheet25%4.08
Mumbai City FC clean sheet46%2.17

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-115.2%
1-113.0%
0-012.1%
0-211.2%
1-28.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Churchill Brothers vs Mumbai City FC?

Our prediction for Churchill Brothers vs Mumbai City FC is Mumbai City FC to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Churchill Brothers vs Mumbai City FC?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Churchill Brothers to score 0.8 goals and Mumbai City FC 1.4.

Will both teams score in Churchill Brothers vs Mumbai City FC?

Both teams to score has a 41% chance.

How are Mumbai City FC playing?

Mumbai City FC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 13 games, with 17 goals scored and 9 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Churchill Brothers vs Mumbai City FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Churchill against Mumbai City . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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