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Predictions › India › Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United FC
Indian Super LeagueThu 5 Nov, 17:00 India time

Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United FC prediction

Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium

CBChurchill BrothersHome
0.94 : 1.24
expected goals
NorthEast United FCAway
27%Churchill
30%Draw
42%NorthEast
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United FC is NorthEast United FC to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
NorthEast United FC to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Churchill Brothers 0.9, NorthEast United FC 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.161 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Churchill Brothers 27%, the draw 30% and NorthEast United FC 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Churchill Brothers took 3 points from their last 3 games and NorthEast United FC took 13 from 5. NorthEast United FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Churchill Brothers won 1 of their last 3 games at home. NorthEast United FC won 0 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Churchill Brothers score 1.3 goals a game and let in 2.7. NorthEast United FC score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Churchill Brothers games and 7 of NorthEast United FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • NorthEastrecent form+6%
  • Churchillrest between games-5%
  • NorthEastrest between games-2%
Churchill form D L W D DNorthEast form D W W W WHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United FC: NorthEast United FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Churchill Brothers host NorthEast United FC in the Indian Super League on Thu 5 Nov, 17:00 at Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium. Our prediction for Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United FC is NorthEast United FC to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Churchill Brothers form

Churchill Brothers have 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 3 games, with 4 goals scored and 8 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses from 3. Their last 3 results read L, L, W, newest first.

NorthEast United FC form

NorthEast United FC have 6 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 16 games, with 21 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Churchill Brothers to score about 0.9 goals and NorthEast United FC about 1.2. That points to NorthEast United FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.16.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

ChurchillNorthEast
Games played316
Wins16
Draws05
Losses25
Goals scored421
Goals conceded822
Scored per game1.31.3
Conceded per game2.71.4
Home record1W 0D 2L6W 0D 4L
Away recordn/a0W 5D 1L
Clean sheets0%19%
Both teams scored67%56%
Over 2.5 goals100%44%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.54
Over 2.5 goals37%2.69
Over 3.5 goals18%5.66
Both teams to score44%2.27
Churchill Brothers or Draw58%1.73
NorthEast United FC or Draw73%1.37
Churchill Brothers to win and Over 2.512%8.08
NorthEast United FC to win and Over 2.520%4.90
Churchill Brothers clean sheet29%3.46
NorthEast United FC clean sheet39%2.56

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%
0-113.2%
0-012.1%
1-09.8%
0-28.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United FC?

Our prediction for Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United FC is NorthEast United FC to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Churchill Brothers to score 0.9 goals and NorthEast United FC 1.2.

Will both teams score in Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United FC?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Churchill Brothers last 3 games and 9 of NorthEast United FC last 16.

How are Churchill Brothers playing?

Churchill Brothers have 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 3 games, with 4 goals scored and 8 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses from 3. Their last 3 results read L, L, W, newest first.

How are NorthEast United FC playing?

NorthEast United FC have 6 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 16 games, with 21 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Churchill against NorthEast. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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