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Predictions › India › Churchill Brothers vs Punjab FC
Indian Super LeagueSun 25 Oct, 17:00 India time

Churchill Brothers vs Punjab FC prediction

Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium

CBChurchill BrothersHome
1.04 : 1.37
expected goals
Punjab FCAway
28%Churchill
29%Draw
44%Punjab FC
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Churchill Brothers vs Punjab FC is Punjab FC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Punjab FC to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Churchill Brothers 1.0, Punjab FC 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.371 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Churchill Brothers 28%, the draw 29% and Punjab FC 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Churchill Brothers took 3 points from their last 1 games and Punjab FC took 10 from 5. Punjab FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Churchill Brothers score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.0. Punjab FC score 1.4 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Churchill Brothers games and 6 of Punjab FC games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Churchillrecent form+1%
  • Punjab FCrecent form+1%
  • Punjab FCrest between games-5%
Churchill form D D D D WPunjab FC form D L W D WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Churchill Brothers vs Punjab FC: Punjab FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Churchill Brothers host Punjab FC in the Indian Super League on Sun 25 Oct, 17:00 at Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium. Our prediction for Churchill Brothers vs Punjab FC is Punjab FC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Churchill Brothers form

Churchill Brothers have 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses in their last 1 games, with 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses from 1. Their last 1 results read W, newest first.

Punjab FC form

Punjab FC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 14 games, with 20 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Churchill Brothers to score about 1.0 goals and Punjab FC about 1.4. That points to Punjab FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.37.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 14 games in all competitions.

ChurchillPunjab FC
Games played114
Wins17
Draws04
Losses03
Goals scored220
Goals conceded113
Scored per game2.01.4
Conceded per game1.00.9
Home record1W 0D 0L4W 2D 1L
Away recordn/a3W 2D 2L
Clean sheets0%36%
Both teams scored100%50%
Over 2.5 goals100%43%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.43
Over 2.5 goals43%2.32
Over 3.5 goals22%4.50
Both teams to score49%2.05
Churchill Brothers or Draw56%1.77
Punjab FC or Draw72%1.38
Churchill Brothers to win and Over 2.514%7.04
Punjab FC to win and Over 2.524%4.24
Churchill Brothers clean sheet25%3.93
Punjab FC clean sheet35%2.82

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
0-111.6%
0-09.8%
1-28.8%
1-08.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Churchill Brothers vs Punjab FC?

Our prediction for Churchill Brothers vs Punjab FC is Punjab FC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Churchill Brothers vs Punjab FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Churchill Brothers to score 1.0 goals and Punjab FC 1.4.

Will both teams score in Churchill Brothers vs Punjab FC?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 1 of Churchill Brothers last 1 games and 7 of Punjab FC last 14.

How are Churchill Brothers playing?

Churchill Brothers have 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses in their last 1 games, with 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses from 1. Their last 1 results read W, newest first.

How are Punjab FC playing?

Punjab FC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 14 games, with 20 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Churchill Brothers vs Punjab FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.31, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Churchill against Punjab FC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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