Predictions › Peru › Cienciano del Cusco vs Atlético Grau

Peruvian Liga 1Thu 29 Oct, 00:00 Peru time

Cienciano del Cusco vs Atlético Grau prediction

Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Cienciano del CuscoHome

1.64 : 0.82

expected goals

Atlético GrauAway

56%Cienciano

26%Draw

18%Atlético Grau

Eagle safe pickCienciano del Cusco or Draw

1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cienciano del Cusco vs Atlético Grau is Cienciano del Cusco to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Cienciano del Cusco or Draw at 1.22.

Prediction: Cienciano del Cusco to win
Chance: 56%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: Cienciano del Cusco 1.6, Atlético Grau 0.8
Best bet: Cienciano del Cusco or Draw at 1.22
Both teams to score: 46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cienciano del Cusco or Draw

82% chanceFair price 1.222 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cienciano del Cusco to win and Over 2.5

30% chanceFair price 3.311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Cienciano del Cusco 56%, the draw 26% and Atlético Grau 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Cienciano del Cusco took 10 points from their last 5 games and Atlético Grau took 4 from 5. Cienciano del Cusco come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Cienciano del Cusco won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Atlético Grau won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Cienciano del Cusco score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Atlético Grau score 1.1 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Cienciano del Cusco games and 8 of Atlético Grau games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Cienciano del Cusco won 1 and Atlético Grau won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Atlético Grau 1, Cienciano del Cusco 2.
6
The safest bet
Cienciano del Cusco or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Ciencianorecent form-1%
Atlético Graurecent form-1%
Ciencianorest between games-5%
Atlético Graurest between games-5%

Cienciano form D W D L LAtlético Grau form D D L W LHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cienciano del Cusco vs Atlético Grau: Cienciano del Cusco are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cienciano del Cusco host Atlético Grau in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Thu 29 Oct, 00:00 at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Our prediction for Cienciano del Cusco vs Atlético Grau is Cienciano del Cusco to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Cienciano del Cusco or Draw at 1.22.

Cienciano del Cusco form

Cienciano del Cusco have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Atlético Grau form

Atlético Grau have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Cienciano del Cusco won 1, Atlético Grau won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Atlético Grau 1, Cienciano del Cusco 2.

Our call

We expect Cienciano del Cusco to score about 1.6 goals and Atlético Grau about 0.8. That points to Cienciano del Cusco to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Cienciano del Cusco or Draw at 1.22. Our bold bet is Cienciano del Cusco to win and Over 2.5 at 3.31.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Cienciano	Atlético Grau
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	8
Draws	4	2
Losses	8	10
Goals scored	27	22
Goals conceded	28	24
Scored per game	1.4	1.1
Conceded per game	1.4	1.2
Home record	5W 2D 3L	6W 1D 3L
Away record	3W 2D 5L	2W 1D 7L
Clean sheets	25%	30%
Both teams scored	55%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	71%	1.41
Over 2.5 goals	44%	2.25
Over 3.5 goals	23%	4.29
Both teams to score	46%	2.19
Cienciano del Cusco or Draw	82%	1.22
Atlético Grau or Draw	44%	2.29
Cienciano del Cusco to win and Over 2.5	31%	3.19
Atlético Grau to win and Over 2.5	9%	11.52
Cienciano del Cusco clean sheet	44%	2.26
Atlético Grau clean sheet	19%	5.16

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.4%

1-112.2%

2-011.5%

2-19.4%

0-09.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cienciano del Cusco vs Atlético Grau?

Our prediction for Cienciano del Cusco vs Atlético Grau is Cienciano del Cusco to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Cienciano del Cusco or Draw at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Cienciano del Cusco vs Atlético Grau?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Cienciano del Cusco to score 1.6 goals and Atlético Grau 0.8.

Will both teams score in Cienciano del Cusco vs Atlético Grau?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Cienciano del Cusco last 20 games and 8 of Atlético Grau last 20.

How are Cienciano del Cusco playing?

How are Atlético Grau playing?

What happened when Cienciano del Cusco and Atlético Grau last met?

It ended Atlético Grau 1, Cienciano del Cusco 2. In the last 1 meeting Cienciano del Cusco won 1 and Atlético Grau won 0.

What is the best bet for Cienciano del Cusco vs Atlético Grau?

Cienciano del Cusco or Draw at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cienciano against Atlético Grau. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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