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Predictions › Peru › Cienciano del Cusco vs Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 1Wed 30 Sept, 20:00 Peru time

Cienciano del Cusco vs Los Chankas prediction

Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Cienciano del CuscoHome
2.34 : 1.00
expected goals
Los ChankasAway
67%Cienciano
19%Draw
14%Los Chankas
Eagle safe pickCienciano del Cusco or Draw
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cienciano del Cusco vs Los Chankas is Cienciano del Cusco to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Cienciano del Cusco or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction
Cienciano del Cusco to win
Chance
67%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Cienciano del Cusco 2.3, Los Chankas 1.0
Best bet
Cienciano del Cusco or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cienciano del Cusco or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cienciano del Cusco to win and both score
32% chanceFair price 3.121 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cienciano del Cusco 67%, the draw 19% and Los Chankas 14%. The bookmakers agree and make Cienciano del Cusco the favourite at 1.36.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cienciano del Cusco took 4 points from their last 5 games and Los Chankas took 0 from 5. Cienciano del Cusco come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cienciano del Cusco won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Los Chankas won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cienciano del Cusco score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.5. Los Chankas score 1.2 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Cienciano del Cusco games and 12 of Los Chankas games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Cienciano del Cusco won 0 and Los Chankas won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Los Chankas 1, Cienciano del Cusco 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Cienciano del Cusco or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ciencianorecent form-1%
  • Los Chankasrecent form-7%
Cienciano form L L W W LLos Chankas form L L L L LHome edge in this league 45% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cienciano del Cusco vs Los Chankas: Cienciano del Cusco are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cienciano del Cusco host Los Chankas in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Wed 30 Sept, 20:00 at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Our prediction for Cienciano del Cusco vs Los Chankas is Cienciano del Cusco to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Cienciano del Cusco or Draw at 1.20.

Cienciano del Cusco form

Cienciano del Cusco have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Los Chankas form

Los Chankas have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Cienciano del Cusco won 0, Los Chankas won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Los Chankas 1, Cienciano del Cusco 0.

Our call

We expect Cienciano del Cusco to score about 2.3 goals and Los Chankas about 1.0. That points to Cienciano del Cusco to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Cienciano del Cusco or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is Cienciano del Cusco to win and both score at 3.12.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CiencianoLos Chankas
Games played2020
Wins98
Draws33
Losses89
Goals scored3124
Goals conceded3038
Scored per game1.61.2
Conceded per game1.51.9
Home record6W 1D 3L6W 1D 4L
Away record3W 2D 5L2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets20%25%
Both teams scored60%45%
Over 2.5 goals65%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Cienciano del Cusco to win67%1.491.36-8.2%
A Draw19%5.274.80-8.9%
Los Chankas to win14%6.936.00-13.5%
Over 3.5 goals41%2.462.05-16.7%
Under 3.5 goals53%1.881.63-13.7%
Cienciano del Cusco -1.544%2.291.91-16.7%
Los Chankas +1.550%2.001.74-12.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%1.54
Over 3.5 goals43%2.34
Both teams to score58%1.74
Cienciano del Cusco or Draw86%1.16
Los Chankas or Draw33%3.00
Cienciano del Cusco to win and Over 2.549%2.03
Los Chankas to win and Over 2.59%10.77
Cienciano del Cusco clean sheet37%2.72
Los Chankas clean sheet10%10.35

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-09.7%
2-19.7%
1-18.8%
1-07.8%
3-07.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cienciano del Cusco vs Los Chankas?

Our prediction for Cienciano del Cusco vs Los Chankas is Cienciano del Cusco to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Cienciano del Cusco or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Cienciano del Cusco vs Los Chankas?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-1. We expect Cienciano del Cusco to score 2.3 goals and Los Chankas 1.0.

Will both teams score in Cienciano del Cusco vs Los Chankas?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Cienciano del Cusco last 20 games and 9 of Los Chankas last 20.

How are Cienciano del Cusco playing?

Cienciano del Cusco have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Los Chankas playing?

Los Chankas have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Cienciano del Cusco and Los Chankas last met?

It ended Los Chankas 1, Cienciano del Cusco 0. In the last 1 meeting Cienciano del Cusco won 0 and Los Chankas won 1.

What is the best bet for Cienciano del Cusco vs Los Chankas?

Cienciano del Cusco or Draw at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cienciano against Los Chankas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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