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Predictions › Peru › Cienciano del Cusco vs UTC
Peruvian Liga 1Sun 18 Oct, 23:30 Peru time

Cienciano del Cusco vs UTC prediction

Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Cienciano del CuscoHome
2.09 : 1.13
expected goals
UTCAway
59%Cienciano
22%Draw
19%UTC
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cienciano del Cusco vs UTC is Cienciano del Cusco to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
Cienciano del Cusco to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Cienciano del Cusco 2.1, UTC 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cienciano del Cusco to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 2.531 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cienciano del Cusco 59%, the draw 22% and UTC 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cienciano del Cusco took 7 points from their last 5 games and UTC took 0 from 5. Cienciano del Cusco come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cienciano del Cusco won 5 of their last 10 games at home. UTC won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cienciano del Cusco score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.5. UTC score 1.1 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Cienciano del Cusco games and 13 of UTC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Cienciano del Cusco won 1 and UTC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended UTC 2, Cienciano del Cusco 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ciencianorecent form-1%
  • UTCrecent form-7%
  • Ciencianorest between games-5%
Cienciano form D D L L WUTC form L L L L LHome edge in this league 44% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cienciano del Cusco vs UTC: Cienciano del Cusco are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cienciano del Cusco host UTC in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sun 18 Oct, 23:30 at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Our prediction for Cienciano del Cusco vs UTC is Cienciano del Cusco to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Cienciano del Cusco form

Cienciano del Cusco have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

UTC form

UTC have 0 wins, 7 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Cienciano del Cusco won 1, UTC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished UTC 2, Cienciano del Cusco 2.

Our call

We expect Cienciano del Cusco to score about 2.1 goals and UTC about 1.1. That points to Cienciano del Cusco to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Cienciano del Cusco to win and Over 2.5 at 2.53.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CiencianoUTC
Games played2020
Wins80
Draws47
Losses813
Goals scored2922
Goals conceded3042
Scored per game1.41.1
Conceded per game1.52.1
Home record5W 2D 3L0W 6D 4L
Away record3W 2D 5L0W 1D 9L
Clean sheets20%10%
Both teams scored60%75%
Over 2.5 goals55%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.60
Over 3.5 goals40%2.49
Both teams to score60%1.67
Cienciano del Cusco or Draw81%1.24
UTC or Draw41%2.43
Cienciano del Cusco to win and Over 2.542%2.36
UTC to win and Over 2.513%7.79
Cienciano del Cusco clean sheet32%3.10
UTC clean sheet12%8.07

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.0%
2-19.9%
2-08.7%
1-07.8%
3-16.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cienciano del Cusco vs UTC?

Our prediction for Cienciano del Cusco vs UTC is Cienciano del Cusco to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Cienciano del Cusco vs UTC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Cienciano del Cusco to score 2.1 goals and UTC 1.1.

Will both teams score in Cienciano del Cusco vs UTC?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Cienciano del Cusco last 20 games and 15 of UTC last 20.

How are Cienciano del Cusco playing?

Cienciano del Cusco have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

How are UTC playing?

UTC have 0 wins, 7 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Cienciano del Cusco and UTC last met?

It ended UTC 2, Cienciano del Cusco 2. In the last 2 meetings Cienciano del Cusco won 1 and UTC won 0.

What is the best bet for Cienciano del Cusco vs UTC?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cienciano against UTC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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