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Predictions › United States › Cincinnati Bearcats vs Arizona Wildcats
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 23:00 United States time

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Arizona Wildcats prediction

Casino Del Sol Stadium

Cincinnati BearcatsAway
23.3 : 31.4
projected points
Arizona WildcatsHome
27%Cincinnati
73%Arizona
Eagle safe pickArizona to win
-290

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cincinnati Bearcats vs Arizona Wildcats is Arizona Wildcats to win, with a 73% chance. We project Cincinnati Bearcats 23.3 and Arizona Wildcats 31.4. Our best bet is Arizona to win at -290.

Prediction
Arizona Wildcats to win
Chance
73%
Projected score
Cincinnati Bearcats 23, Arizona Wildcats 31
Projected total
54.7 points
Best bet
Arizona to win at -290

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Arizona to win
73% chancePrice -2901 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Arizona Wildcats 73% and Cincinnati Bearcats 27%. The bookmakers agree and make Arizona Wildcats the favourite at -290.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Arizona Wildcats won 3 of their last 5 and Cincinnati Bearcats won 4 of their last 5. Cincinnati Bearcats come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Arizona Wildcats won 6 of their last 7 games at home. Cincinnati Bearcats won 2 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Arizona Wildcats score 30.0 points a game and let in 21.2. Cincinnati Bearcats score 33.7 and let in 25.0. Their recent games average 51.2 and 58.7 points in total, and the market line is 54.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Arizona Wildcats won 1 and Cincinnati Bearcats won 0. The last one ended Cincinnati Bearcats 24, Arizona Wildcats 30.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Arizona to win has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Arizonarest between games-5%
  • Cincinnatirest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Arizona Wildcats: Arizona Wildcats are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Arizona Wildcats host Cincinnati Bearcats in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 23:00 at Casino Del Sol Stadium. Our prediction for Cincinnati Bearcats vs Arizona Wildcats is Arizona Wildcats to win, with a 73% chance. We project Cincinnati Bearcats 23.3 and Arizona Wildcats 31.4. Our best bet is Arizona to win at -290.

Arizona Wildcats form

Arizona Wildcats have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 450 points scored and 318 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Cincinnati Bearcats form

Cincinnati Bearcats have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 505 points scored and 375 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Arizona Wildcats won 1, Cincinnati Bearcats won 0. Last time out it finished Cincinnati Bearcats 24, Arizona Wildcats 30.

Our call

We expect Cincinnati Bearcats to score about 23.3 points and Arizona Wildcats about 31.4. That points to Arizona Wildcats to win. Our safest bet is Arizona to win at -290.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

ArizonaCincinnati
Games played1515
Wins1010
Losses55
Points scored450505
Points conceded318375
Scored per game30.033.7
Conceded per game21.225.0
Home record6W 1L8W 3L
Away record4W 4L2W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Arizona to win73%-276-290-1.3%
Cincinnati to win28%+258+235-6.3%
Arizona -750%+102-118-8.4%
Cincinnati +744%+126-102-12.5%
Over 54.5 points47%+112-118-12.7%
Under 54.5 points47%+115-102-7.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Arizona spreadCoversFair
Arizona -15.532%+212
Arizona -11.541%+141
Arizona -8.549%+104
Arizona -5.556%-129
Arizona -1.566%-193
Total pointsOverUnder
47.567%33%
51.558%42%
54.550%50%
57.543%57%
61.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Arizona +3.5 wins if Arizona win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cincinnati Bearcats vs Arizona Wildcats?

Our prediction for Cincinnati Bearcats vs Arizona Wildcats is Arizona Wildcats to win, with a 73% chance. We project Cincinnati Bearcats 23.3 and Arizona Wildcats 31.4. Our best bet is Arizona to win at -290.

What is the projected score for Cincinnati Bearcats vs Arizona Wildcats?

We project Cincinnati Bearcats 23.3 and Arizona Wildcats 31.4, about 54.7 points in total.

How are Arizona Wildcats playing?

Arizona Wildcats have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 450 points scored and 318 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Cincinnati Bearcats playing?

Cincinnati Bearcats have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 505 points scored and 375 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Arizona Wildcats and Cincinnati Bearcats last met?

It ended Cincinnati Bearcats 24, Arizona Wildcats 30. In the last 1 meeting Arizona Wildcats won 1 and Cincinnati Bearcats won 0.

What is the best bet for Cincinnati Bearcats vs Arizona Wildcats?

Arizona to win at -290, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Arizona against Cincinnati. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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