Predictions › United States › Cincinnati Bearcats vs West Virginia Mountaineers
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 12:00 United States time

Cincinnati Bearcats vs West Virginia Mountaineers prediction

Milan Puskar Stadium

Cincinnati BearcatsAway
24.6 : 31.3
projected points
West Virginia MountaineersHome
33%Cincinnati
67%West Virginia
Eagle safe pickOver 45.5 points
-300

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cincinnati Bearcats vs West Virginia Mountaineers is West Virginia Mountaineers to win, with a 67% chance. We project Cincinnati Bearcats 24.6 and West Virginia Mountaineers 31.3. Our best bet is Over 45.5 points at -300.

Prediction
West Virginia Mountaineers to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Cincinnati Bearcats 25, West Virginia Mountaineers 31
Projected total
55.9 points
Best bet
Over 45.5 points at -300

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 45.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3002 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cincinnati to win
33% chanceFair price +2071 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives West Virginia Mountaineers 67% and Cincinnati Bearcats 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    West Virginia Mountaineers won 3 of their last 5 and Cincinnati Bearcats won 4 of their last 5. Cincinnati Bearcats come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    West Virginia Mountaineers won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Cincinnati Bearcats won 2 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    West Virginia Mountaineers score 26.2 points a game and let in 32.9. Cincinnati Bearcats score 32.0 and let in 25.6. Their recent games average 59.1 and 57.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 45.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cincinnati Bearcats vs West Virginia Mountaineers: West Virginia Mountaineers are favourites

The big picture

West Virginia Mountaineers host Cincinnati Bearcats in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 at Milan Puskar Stadium. Our prediction for Cincinnati Bearcats vs West Virginia Mountaineers is West Virginia Mountaineers to win, with a 67% chance. We project Cincinnati Bearcats 24.6 and West Virginia Mountaineers 31.3. Our best bet is Over 45.5 points at -300.

West Virginia Mountaineers form

West Virginia Mountaineers have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 393 points scored and 494 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Cincinnati Bearcats form

Cincinnati Bearcats have 10 wins and 6 losses in their last 16 games, with 512 points scored and 409 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Cincinnati Bearcats to score about 24.6 points and West Virginia Mountaineers about 31.3. That points to West Virginia Mountaineers to win. Our safest bet is Over 45.5 points at -300. Our bold bet is Cincinnati to win at +207.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

West VirginiaCincinnati
Games played1516
Wins610
Losses96
Points scored393512
Points conceded494409
Scored per game26.232.0
Conceded per game32.925.6
Home record4W 4L8W 3L
Away record2W 5L2W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

West Virginia spreadCoversFair
West Virginia -13.533%+199
West Virginia -9.543%+133
West Virginia -6.550%-102
West Virginia -3.558%-137
West Virginia +0.567%-205
Total pointsOverUnder
48.568%32%
52.558%42%
55.551%49%
58.544%56%
62.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. West Virginia +3.5 wins if West Virginia win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Cincinnati Bearcats vs West Virginia Mountaineers?

Our prediction for Cincinnati Bearcats vs West Virginia Mountaineers is West Virginia Mountaineers to win, with a 67% chance. We project Cincinnati Bearcats 24.6 and West Virginia Mountaineers 31.3. Our best bet is Over 45.5 points at -300.

What is the projected score for Cincinnati Bearcats vs West Virginia Mountaineers?

We project Cincinnati Bearcats 24.6 and West Virginia Mountaineers 31.3, about 55.9 points in total.

How are West Virginia Mountaineers playing?

West Virginia Mountaineers have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 393 points scored and 494 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Cincinnati Bearcats playing?

Cincinnati Bearcats have 10 wins and 6 losses in their last 16 games, with 512 points scored and 409 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Cincinnati Bearcats vs West Virginia Mountaineers?

Over 45.5 points at -300, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in West Virginia against Cincinnati. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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