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Predictions › United States › Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves
MLBTue 22 Sept, 19:15 United States time

Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves prediction

Truist Park

Cincinnati RedsAway
3.7 : 6.4
projected runs
Atlanta BravesHome
23%Reds
77%Braves
Eagle safe pickBraves to win
-330

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves is Atlanta Braves to win, with a 77% chance. We project Cincinnati Reds 3.7 and Atlanta Braves 6.4. Our best bet is Braves to win at -330.

Prediction
Atlanta Braves to win
Chance
77%
Projected score
Cincinnati Reds 4, Atlanta Braves 6
Projected total
10.0 runs
Best bet
Braves to win at -330

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Braves to win
77% chanceFair price -3302 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlanta Braves 77% and Cincinnati Reds 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlanta Braves won 3 of their last 5 and Cincinnati Reds won 0 of their last 5. Atlanta Braves come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlanta Braves won 9 of their last 12 games at home. Cincinnati Reds won 4 of their last 14 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Atlanta Braves score 4.0 runs a game and let in 3.5. Cincinnati Reds score 4.8 and let in 7.7. Their recent games average 7.5 and 12.6 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Atlanta Braves won 2 and Cincinnati Reds won 1. The last one ended Cincinnati Reds 6, Atlanta Braves 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Braves to win has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bravesrest between games-5%
  • Redsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves: Atlanta Braves are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Atlanta Braves host Cincinnati Reds in the MLB on Tue 22 Sept, 19:15 at Truist Park. Our prediction for Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves is Atlanta Braves to win, with a 77% chance. We project Cincinnati Reds 3.7 and Atlanta Braves 6.4. Our best bet is Braves to win at -330.

Atlanta Braves form

Atlanta Braves have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 80 runs scored and 70 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Cincinnati Reds form

Cincinnati Reds have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 97 runs scored and 154 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 10 losses from 14. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Atlanta Braves won 2, Cincinnati Reds won 1. Last time out it finished Cincinnati Reds 6, Atlanta Braves 4.

Our call

We expect Cincinnati Reds to score about 3.7 runs and Atlanta Braves about 6.4. That points to Atlanta Braves to win. Our safest bet is Braves to win at -330.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BravesReds
Games played2020
Wins138
Losses712
Runs scored8097
Runs conceded70154
Scored per game4.04.8
Conceded per game3.57.7
Home record9W 3L4W 2L
Away record4W 4L4W 10L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Braves spreadCoversFair
Braves -4.533%+199
Braves -3.543%+135
Braves -2.552%-108
Braves -1.561%-159
Braves -0.570%-234
Total runsOverUnder
8.564%36%
9.555%45%
10.546%54%
11.537%63%
12.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Braves +3.5 wins if Braves win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves?

Our prediction for Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves is Atlanta Braves to win, with a 77% chance. We project Cincinnati Reds 3.7 and Atlanta Braves 6.4. Our best bet is Braves to win at -330.

What is the projected score for Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves?

We project Cincinnati Reds 3.7 and Atlanta Braves 6.4, about 10.0 runs in total.

How are Atlanta Braves playing?

Atlanta Braves have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 80 runs scored and 70 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Cincinnati Reds playing?

Cincinnati Reds have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 97 runs scored and 154 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 10 losses from 14. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Atlanta Braves and Cincinnati Reds last met?

It ended Cincinnati Reds 6, Atlanta Braves 4. In the last 3 meetings Atlanta Braves won 2 and Cincinnati Reds won 1.

What is the best bet for Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves?

Braves to win at -330, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Braves against Reds. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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