PredictionsUnited StatesClemson Tigers vs California Golden Bears
College FootballFri 25 Sept, 22:30 United States time

Clemson Tigers vs California Golden Bears prediction

California Memorial Stadium

Clemson TigersAway
27.6 : 27.6
projected points
California Golden BearsHome
52%Clemson
48%California
Eagle safe pickCalifornia +10.5
-318

Quick answer

Our prediction for Clemson Tigers vs California Golden Bears is Clemson Tigers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Clemson Tigers 27.6 and California Golden Bears 27.6. Our best bet is California +10.5 at -318.

Prediction
Clemson Tigers to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Clemson Tigers 28, California Golden Bears 28
Projected total
55.3 points
Best bet
California +10.5 at -318

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

California +10.5
76% chanceFair price -3182 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives California Golden Bears 48% and Clemson Tigers 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    California Golden Bears won 2 of their last 5 and Clemson Tigers won 3 of their last 5. Clemson Tigers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    California Golden Bears won 3 of their last 6 games at home. Clemson Tigers won 4 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    California Golden Bears score 23.5 points a game and let in 30.6. Clemson Tigers score 26.8 and let in 22.5. Their recent games average 54.1 and 49.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    California +10.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Clemson Tigers vs California Golden Bears: Clemson Tigers shade it

The big picture

California Golden Bears host Clemson Tigers in the College Football on Fri 25 Sept, 22:30 at California Memorial Stadium. Our prediction for Clemson Tigers vs California Golden Bears is Clemson Tigers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Clemson Tigers 27.6 and California Golden Bears 27.6. Our best bet is California +10.5 at -318.

California Golden Bears form

California Golden Bears have 6 wins and 7 losses in their last 13 games, with 305 points scored and 398 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Clemson Tigers form

Clemson Tigers have 7 wins and 6 losses in their last 13 games, with 349 points scored and 292 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Clemson Tigers to score about 27.6 points and California Golden Bears about 27.6. That points to Clemson Tigers to win. Our safest bet is California +10.5 at -318.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

CaliforniaClemson
Games played1313
Wins67
Losses76
Points scored305349
Points conceded398292
Scored per game23.526.8
Conceded per game30.622.5
Home record3W 3L3W 4L
Away record3W 4L4W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

California spreadCoversFair
California -6.534%+192
California -2.544%+129
California +0.551%-105
California +3.559%-142
California +7.568%-213
Total pointsOverUnder
48.566%34%
52.557%43%
55.549%51%
58.542%58%
62.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. California +3.5 wins if California win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Clemson Tigers vs California Golden Bears?

Our prediction for Clemson Tigers vs California Golden Bears is Clemson Tigers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Clemson Tigers 27.6 and California Golden Bears 27.6. Our best bet is California +10.5 at -318.

What is the projected score for Clemson Tigers vs California Golden Bears?

We project Clemson Tigers 27.6 and California Golden Bears 27.6, about 55.3 points in total.

How are California Golden Bears playing?

California Golden Bears have 6 wins and 7 losses in their last 13 games, with 305 points scored and 398 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Clemson Tigers playing?

Clemson Tigers have 7 wins and 6 losses in their last 13 games, with 349 points scored and 292 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Clemson Tigers vs California Golden Bears?

California +10.5 at -318, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in California against Clemson. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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