Predictions › France › Clermont Foot vs Guingamp

Ligue 2Fri 23 Oct, 18:00 France time

Clermont Foot vs Guingamp prediction

Stade Gabriel-Montpied

Clermont FootHome

1.15 : 0.95

expected goals

GuingampAway

39%Clermont Foot

31%Draw

29%Guingamp

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Clermont Foot vs Guingamp is Clermont Foot to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction: Clermont Foot to win
Chance: 39%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Clermont Foot 1.1, Guingamp 0.9
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score: 43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 1.222 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 7.051 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Clermont Foot 39%, the draw 31% and Guingamp 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Clermont Foot took 4 points from their last 5 games and Guingamp took 5 from 5. Guingamp come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Clermont Foot won 2 of their last 12 games at home. Guingamp won 0 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Clermont Foot score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.1. Guingamp score 0.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Clermont Foot games and 9 of Guingamp games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Clermont Foot won 2 and Guingamp won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Clermont Foot 1, Guingamp 0.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Clermont Foot form D D D D DGuingamp form D L W D DHome edge in this league 11% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Clermont Foot vs Guingamp: Clermont Foot shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Clermont Foot host Guingamp in the Ligue 2 on Fri 23 Oct, 18:00 at Stade Gabriel-Montpied. Our prediction for Clermont Foot vs Guingamp is Clermont Foot to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Clermont Foot form

Clermont Foot have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, D, newest first.

Guingamp form

Guingamp have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Clermont Foot won 2, Guingamp won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Clermont Foot 1, Guingamp 0.

Our call

We expect Clermont Foot to score about 1.1 goals and Guingamp about 0.9. That points to Clermont Foot to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.05.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Clermont Foot	Guingamp
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	3
Draws	9	6
Losses	7	11
Goals scored	20	19
Goals conceded	23	29
Scored per game	1.0	0.9
Conceded per game	1.1	1.4
Home record	2W 6D 4L	3W 3D 4L
Away record	2W 3D 3L	0W 3D 7L
Clean sheets	25%	15%
Both teams scored	60%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	63%	1.59
Over 2.5 goals	35%	2.85
Over 3.5 goals	16%	6.19
Both teams to score	43%	2.34
Clermont Foot or Draw	71%	1.41
Guingamp or Draw	61%	1.65
Clermont Foot to win and Over 2.5	18%	5.53
Guingamp to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.79
Clermont Foot clean sheet	39%	2.59
Guingamp clean sheet	32%	3.16

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.2%

1-013.3%

0-013.0%

0-110.8%

2-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Clermont Foot vs Guingamp?

Our prediction for Clermont Foot vs Guingamp is Clermont Foot to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Clermont Foot vs Guingamp?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Clermont Foot to score 1.1 goals and Guingamp 0.9.

Will both teams score in Clermont Foot vs Guingamp?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Clermont Foot last 20 games and 11 of Guingamp last 20.

How are Clermont Foot playing?

How are Guingamp playing?

What happened when Clermont Foot and Guingamp last met?

It ended Clermont Foot 1, Guingamp 0. In the last 2 meetings Clermont Foot won 2 and Guingamp won 0.

What is the best bet for Clermont Foot vs Guingamp?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Clermont Foot against Guingamp. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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