Predictions › France › Clermont Foot vs Rodez Aveyron

Ligue 2Sat 7 Nov, 13:00 France time

Clermont Foot vs Rodez Aveyron prediction

Stade Gabriel-Montpied

Clermont FootHome

1.13 : 1.22

expected goals

Rodez AveyronAway

33%Clermont Foot

30%Draw

37%Rodez Aveyron

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Clermont Foot vs Rodez Aveyron is Rodez Aveyron to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction: Rodez Aveyron to win
Chance: 37%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Clermont Foot 1.1, Rodez Aveyron 1.2
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score: 48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

79% chanceFair price 1.262 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 7.171 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Clermont Foot 33%, the draw 30% and Rodez Aveyron 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Clermont Foot took 3 points from their last 5 games and Rodez Aveyron took 3 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Clermont Foot won 2 of their last 12 games at home. Rodez Aveyron won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Clermont Foot score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.3. Rodez Aveyron score 1.5 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Clermont Foot games and 12 of Rodez Aveyron games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Clermont Foot won 1 and Rodez Aveyron won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Clermont Foot 1, Rodez Aveyron 2.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Clermont Footrecent form-1%
Rodez Aveyronrecent form-6%

Clermont Foot form D D L D DRodez Aveyron form D L L L LHome edge in this league 9% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Clermont Foot vs Rodez Aveyron: Rodez Aveyron shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Clermont Foot host Rodez Aveyron in the Ligue 2 on Sat 7 Nov, 13:00 at Stade Gabriel-Montpied. Our prediction for Clermont Foot vs Rodez Aveyron is Rodez Aveyron to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Clermont Foot form

Clermont Foot have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, D, newest first.

Rodez Aveyron form

Rodez Aveyron have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Clermont Foot won 1, Rodez Aveyron won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Clermont Foot 1, Rodez Aveyron 2.

Our call

We expect Clermont Foot to score about 1.1 goals and Rodez Aveyron about 1.2. That points to Rodez Aveyron to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.17.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Clermont Foot	Rodez Aveyron
Games played	20	20
Wins	3	9
Draws	10	5
Losses	7	6
Goals scored	20	30
Goals conceded	26	30
Scored per game	1.0	1.5
Conceded per game	1.3	1.5
Home record	2W 6D 4L	5W 2D 3L
Away record	1W 4D 3L	4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets	20%	15%
Both teams scored	60%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	69%	1.46
Over 2.5 goals	41%	2.41
Over 3.5 goals	21%	4.78
Both teams to score	48%	2.07
Clermont Foot or Draw	63%	1.60
Rodez Aveyron or Draw	67%	1.49
Clermont Foot to win and Over 2.5	17%	5.94
Rodez Aveyron to win and Over 2.5	19%	5.16
Clermont Foot clean sheet	30%	3.37
Rodez Aveyron clean sheet	32%	3.08

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%

0-110.9%

0-010.4%

1-010.0%

1-28.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Clermont Foot vs Rodez Aveyron?

Our prediction for Clermont Foot vs Rodez Aveyron is Rodez Aveyron to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Clermont Foot vs Rodez Aveyron?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Clermont Foot to score 1.1 goals and Rodez Aveyron 1.2.

Will both teams score in Clermont Foot vs Rodez Aveyron?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Clermont Foot last 20 games and 13 of Rodez Aveyron last 20.

How are Clermont Foot playing?

How are Rodez Aveyron playing?

What happened when Clermont Foot and Rodez Aveyron last met?

It ended Clermont Foot 1, Rodez Aveyron 2. In the last 2 meetings Clermont Foot won 1 and Rodez Aveyron won 1.

What is the best bet for Clermont Foot vs Rodez Aveyron?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Clermont Foot against Rodez Aveyron. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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