Quick answer
Our prediction for Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints is New Orleans Saints to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Browns 20.2 and New Orleans Saints 22.5. Our best bet is Under 50.5 points at -282.
- Prediction
- New Orleans Saints to win
- Chance
- 51%
- Projected score
- Cleveland Browns 20, New Orleans Saints 23
- Projected total
- 42.8 points
- Best bet
- Under 50.5 points at -282
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Under 50.5 points
74% chanceFair price -2821 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives New Orleans Saints 51% and Cleveland Browns 49%. The bookmakers agree and make New Orleans Saints the favourite at -135.
- 2
Recent formNew Orleans Saints won 1 of their last 5 and Cleveland Browns won 4 of their last 5. Cleveland Browns come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayNew Orleans Saints won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Cleveland Browns won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
- 4
ScoringNew Orleans Saints score 19.5 points a game and let in 23.6. Cleveland Browns score 17.6 and let in 22.6. Their recent games average 43.1 and 40.2 points in total, and the market line is 43.5.
- 5
The safest betUnder 50.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewCleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints: New Orleans Saints shade it
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
New Orleans Saints host Cleveland Browns in the NFL on Sun 8 Nov, 13:00 at Caesars Superdome. Our prediction for Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints is New Orleans Saints to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Browns 20.2 and New Orleans Saints 22.5. Our best bet is Under 50.5 points at -282.
New Orleans Saints form
New Orleans Saints have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 390 points scored and 473 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.
Cleveland Browns form
Cleveland Browns have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 353 points scored and 451 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.
Our call
We expect Cleveland Browns to score about 20.2 points and New Orleans Saints about 22.5. That points to New Orleans Saints to win. Our safest bet is Under 50.5 points at -282.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against DraftKings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Saints +3.5 wins if Saints win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints?
Our prediction for Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints is New Orleans Saints to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Browns 20.2 and New Orleans Saints 22.5. Our best bet is Under 50.5 points at -282.
What is the projected score for Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints?
We project Cleveland Browns 20.2 and New Orleans Saints 22.5, about 42.8 points in total.
How are New Orleans Saints playing?
New Orleans Saints have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 390 points scored and 473 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.
How are Cleveland Browns playing?
Cleveland Browns have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 353 points scored and 451 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.
What is the best bet for Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints?
Under 50.5 points at -282, with a 74% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Saints against Browns. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
- 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
- Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
- No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
- Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.
Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.
Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.
Kenya
Nigeria
Ghana
South Africa
United Kingdom
United States
India
Tanzania
Uganda
Zambia
Cameroon
Ivory Coast
