Predictions › United States › Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks
NBAThu 29 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks prediction

State Farm Arena

Cleveland CavaliersAway
116.7 : 116.2
projected points
Atlanta HawksHome
53%Cavaliers
47%Hawks
Eagle safe pickHawks +8.5
-300

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Cavaliers 116.7 and Atlanta Hawks 116.2. Our best bet is Hawks +8.5 at -300.

Prediction
Cleveland Cavaliers to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Cleveland Cavaliers 117, Atlanta Hawks 116
Projected total
232.9 points
Best bet
Hawks +8.5 at -300

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hawks +8.5
75% chanceFair price -3002 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlanta Hawks 47% and Cleveland Cavaliers 53%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlanta Hawks won 4 of their last 5 and Cleveland Cavaliers won 1 of their last 5. Atlanta Hawks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlanta Hawks won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Cleveland Cavaliers won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Atlanta Hawks score 114.3 points a game and let in 115.0. Cleveland Cavaliers score 108.3 and let in 112.3. Their recent games average 229.3 and 220.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Atlanta Hawks won 2 and Cleveland Cavaliers won 2. The last one ended Atlanta Hawks 124, Cleveland Cavaliers 102.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hawks +8.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks: Cleveland Cavaliers shade it

The big picture

Atlanta Hawks host Cleveland Cavaliers in the NBA on Thu 29 Oct, 19:00 at State Farm Arena. Our prediction for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Cavaliers 116.7 and Atlanta Hawks 116.2. Our best bet is Hawks +8.5 at -300.

Atlanta Hawks form

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2285 points scored and 2300 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Cleveland Cavaliers form

Cleveland Cavaliers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2165 points scored and 2246 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Atlanta Hawks won 2, Cleveland Cavaliers won 2. Last time out it finished Atlanta Hawks 124, Cleveland Cavaliers 102.

Our call

We expect Cleveland Cavaliers to score about 116.7 points and Atlanta Hawks about 116.2. That points to Cleveland Cavaliers to win. Our safest bet is Hawks +8.5 at -300.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HawksCavaliers
Games played2020
Wins118
Losses912
Points scored22852165
Points conceded23002246
Scored per game114.3108.3
Conceded per game115.0112.3
Home record5W 4L6W 4L
Away record6W 5L2W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Hawks spreadCoversFair
Hawks -5.532%+216
Hawks -2.541%+146
Hawks +0.550%-100
Hawks +3.560%-147
Hawks +6.569%-218
Total pointsOverUnder
226.564%36%
229.558%42%
232.551%49%
235.544%56%
238.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Hawks +3.5 wins if Hawks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks?

Our prediction for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Cavaliers 116.7 and Atlanta Hawks 116.2. Our best bet is Hawks +8.5 at -300.

What is the projected score for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks?

We project Cleveland Cavaliers 116.7 and Atlanta Hawks 116.2, about 232.9 points in total.

How are Atlanta Hawks playing?

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2285 points scored and 2300 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Cleveland Cavaliers playing?

Cleveland Cavaliers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2165 points scored and 2246 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Atlanta Hawks and Cleveland Cavaliers last met?

It ended Atlanta Hawks 124, Cleveland Cavaliers 102. In the last 4 meetings Atlanta Hawks won 2 and Cleveland Cavaliers won 2.

What is the best bet for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks?

Hawks +8.5 at -300, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hawks against Cavaliers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.