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NBASat 31 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction

Fiserv Forum

Cleveland CavaliersAway
119.8 : 112.9
projected points
Milwaukee BucksHome
72%Cavaliers
28%Bucks
Eagle safe pickCavaliers +1.5
-307

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 72% chance. We project Cleveland Cavaliers 119.8 and Milwaukee Bucks 112.9. Our best bet is Cavaliers +1.5 at -307.

Prediction
Cleveland Cavaliers to win
Chance
72%
Projected score
Cleveland Cavaliers 120, Milwaukee Bucks 113
Projected total
232.7 points
Best bet
Cavaliers +1.5 at -307

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cavaliers +1.5
75% chanceFair price -3072 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bucks to win
28% chanceFair price +2631 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Milwaukee Bucks 28% and Cleveland Cavaliers 72%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Milwaukee Bucks won 2 of their last 5 and Cleveland Cavaliers won 1 of their last 5. Milwaukee Bucks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Milwaukee Bucks won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Cleveland Cavaliers won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Milwaukee Bucks score 108.5 points a game and let in 120.0. Cleveland Cavaliers score 108.3 and let in 112.3. Their recent games average 228.6 and 220.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Milwaukee Bucks won 1 and Cleveland Cavaliers won 3. The last one ended Milwaukee Bucks 116, Cleveland Cavaliers 123.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Cavaliers +1.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks: Cleveland Cavaliers are favourites

The big picture

Milwaukee Bucks host Cleveland Cavaliers in the NBA on Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 at Fiserv Forum. Our prediction for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 72% chance. We project Cleveland Cavaliers 119.8 and Milwaukee Bucks 112.9. Our best bet is Cavaliers +1.5 at -307.

Milwaukee Bucks form

Milwaukee Bucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2170 points scored and 2401 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Cleveland Cavaliers form

Cleveland Cavaliers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2165 points scored and 2246 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Milwaukee Bucks won 1, Cleveland Cavaliers won 3. Last time out it finished Milwaukee Bucks 116, Cleveland Cavaliers 123.

Our call

We expect Cleveland Cavaliers to score about 119.8 points and Milwaukee Bucks about 112.9. That points to Cleveland Cavaliers to win. Our safest bet is Cavaliers +1.5 at -307. Our bold bet is Bucks to win at +263.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BucksCavaliers
Games played2020
Wins68
Losses1412
Points scored21702165
Points conceded24012246
Scored per game108.5108.3
Conceded per game120.0112.3
Home record3W 6L6W 4L
Away record3W 8L2W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Bucks spreadCoversFair
Bucks +0.531%+226
Bucks +3.540%+153
Bucks +6.549%+104
Bucks +9.559%-141
Bucks +12.568%-208
Total pointsOverUnder
226.563%37%
229.557%43%
232.550%50%
235.544%56%
238.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bucks +3.5 wins if Bucks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks?

Our prediction for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 72% chance. We project Cleveland Cavaliers 119.8 and Milwaukee Bucks 112.9. Our best bet is Cavaliers +1.5 at -307.

What is the projected score for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks?

We project Cleveland Cavaliers 119.8 and Milwaukee Bucks 112.9, about 232.7 points in total.

How are Milwaukee Bucks playing?

Milwaukee Bucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2170 points scored and 2401 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Cleveland Cavaliers playing?

Cleveland Cavaliers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2165 points scored and 2246 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Milwaukee Bucks and Cleveland Cavaliers last met?

It ended Milwaukee Bucks 116, Cleveland Cavaliers 123. In the last 4 meetings Milwaukee Bucks won 1 and Cleveland Cavaliers won 3.

What is the best bet for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks?

Cavaliers +1.5 at -307, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bucks against Cavaliers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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