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Predictions › United States › Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
NBAWed 4 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction

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Cleveland CavaliersAway
109.7 : 116.5
projected points
Oklahoma City ThunderHome
27%Cavaliers
73%Thunder
Eagle safe pickThunder +1.5
-312

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 73% chance. We project Cleveland Cavaliers 109.7 and Oklahoma City Thunder 116.5. Our best bet is Thunder +1.5 at -312.

Prediction
Oklahoma City Thunder to win
Chance
73%
Projected score
Cleveland Cavaliers 110, Oklahoma City Thunder 117
Projected total
226.3 points
Best bet
Thunder +1.5 at -312

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Thunder +1.5
76% chanceFair price -3122 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cavaliers to win
27% chanceFair price +2651 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Oklahoma City Thunder 73% and Cleveland Cavaliers 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Oklahoma City Thunder won 4 of their last 5 and Cleveland Cavaliers won 2 of their last 5. Oklahoma City Thunder come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Oklahoma City Thunder won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Cleveland Cavaliers won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Oklahoma City Thunder score 112.1 points a game and let in 110.0. Cleveland Cavaliers score 108.8 and let in 112.5. Their recent games average 222.1 and 221.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Oklahoma City Thunder won 2 and Cleveland Cavaliers won 0. The last one ended Oklahoma City Thunder 121, Cleveland Cavaliers 113.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Thunder +1.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Thunderrest between games-5%
  • Cavaliersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder: Oklahoma City Thunder are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Oklahoma City Thunder host Cleveland Cavaliers in the NBA on Wed 4 Nov, 20:00 at Paycom Center. Our prediction for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 73% chance. We project Cleveland Cavaliers 109.7 and Oklahoma City Thunder 116.5. Our best bet is Thunder +1.5 at -312.

Oklahoma City Thunder form

Oklahoma City Thunder have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2242 points scored and 2200 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Cleveland Cavaliers form

Cleveland Cavaliers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2177 points scored and 2250 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Oklahoma City Thunder won 2, Cleveland Cavaliers won 0. Last time out it finished Oklahoma City Thunder 121, Cleveland Cavaliers 113.

Our call

We expect Cleveland Cavaliers to score about 109.7 points and Oklahoma City Thunder about 116.5. That points to Oklahoma City Thunder to win. Our safest bet is Thunder +1.5 at -312. Our bold bet is Cavaliers to win at +265.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ThunderCavaliers
Games played2020
Wins128
Losses812
Points scored22422177
Points conceded22002250
Scored per game112.1108.8
Conceded per game110.0112.5
Home record7W 4L6W 4L
Away record5W 4L2W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Thunder spreadCoversFair
Thunder -12.533%+208
Thunder -9.542%+141
Thunder -6.551%-104
Thunder -3.561%-153
Thunder -0.569%-227
Total pointsOverUnder
220.563%37%
223.556%44%
226.549%51%
229.543%57%
232.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Thunder +3.5 wins if Thunder win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Kenny Atkinson Shares Disappointment Over Missing LeBron James

Cavs coach Kenny Atkinson felt depressed when LeBron James picked Philadelphia, but he praised Cleveland for pivoting to acquire Peyton Watson.

23 Oct 2026
NBA

Thunder, Celtics, and Warriors Lock In Key Players With Extensions

NBA teams are securing talent with long term deals, including extensions for Cason Wallace, Payton Pritchard, and Brandin Podziemski.

19 Oct 2026
NBA

Donovan Mitchell Secures Historic Shoe Deal Extension With Adidas

Cleveland Cavaliers star Donovan Mitchell has signed a multiyear extension with Adidas, guaranteeing a 10th signature shoe with the brand.

1 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

Our prediction for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder is Oklahoma City Thunder to win, with a 73% chance. We project Cleveland Cavaliers 109.7 and Oklahoma City Thunder 116.5. Our best bet is Thunder +1.5 at -312.

What is the projected score for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

We project Cleveland Cavaliers 109.7 and Oklahoma City Thunder 116.5, about 226.3 points in total.

How are Oklahoma City Thunder playing?

Oklahoma City Thunder have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2242 points scored and 2200 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Cleveland Cavaliers playing?

Cleveland Cavaliers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2177 points scored and 2250 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Oklahoma City Thunder and Cleveland Cavaliers last met?

It ended Oklahoma City Thunder 121, Cleveland Cavaliers 113. In the last 2 meetings Oklahoma City Thunder won 2 and Cleveland Cavaliers won 0.

What is the best bet for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

Thunder +1.5 at -312, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Thunder against Cavaliers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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