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Predictions › United States › Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals
MLBFri 25 Sept, 19:40 United States time

Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals prediction

Kauffman Stadium

Cleveland GuardiansAway
5.0 : 4.4
projected runs
Kansas City RoyalsHome
59%Guardians
41%Royals
Eagle safe pickUnder 11.5 runs
-240

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals is Cleveland Guardians to win, with a 59% chance. We project Cleveland Guardians 5.0 and Kansas City Royals 4.4. Our best bet is Under 11.5 runs at -240.

Prediction
Cleveland Guardians to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
Cleveland Guardians 5, Kansas City Royals 4
Projected total
9.3 runs
Best bet
Under 11.5 runs at -240

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 11.5 runs
71% chanceFair price -2401 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Royals to win
41% chanceFair price +1441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kansas City Royals 41% and Cleveland Guardians 59%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kansas City Royals won 2 of their last 5 and Cleveland Guardians won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kansas City Royals won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Cleveland Guardians won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Kansas City Royals score 4.4 runs a game and let in 4.3. Cleveland Guardians score 4.5 and let in 4.7. Their recent games average 8.7 and 9.2 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Kansas City Royals won 2 and Cleveland Guardians won 3. The last one ended Cleveland Guardians 11, Kansas City Royals 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 11.5 runs has a 71% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Royalsrest between games-2%
  • Guardiansrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals: Cleveland Guardians are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kansas City Royals host Cleveland Guardians in the MLB on Fri 25 Sept, 19:40 at Kauffman Stadium. Our prediction for Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals is Cleveland Guardians to win, with a 59% chance. We project Cleveland Guardians 5.0 and Kansas City Royals 4.4. Our best bet is Under 11.5 runs at -240.

Kansas City Royals form

Kansas City Royals have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 88 runs scored and 85 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Cleveland Guardians form

Cleveland Guardians have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 91 runs scored and 93 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Kansas City Royals won 2, Cleveland Guardians won 3. Last time out it finished Cleveland Guardians 11, Kansas City Royals 1.

Our call

We expect Cleveland Guardians to score about 5.0 runs and Kansas City Royals about 4.4. That points to Cleveland Guardians to win. Our safest bet is Under 11.5 runs at -240. Our bold bet is Royals to win at +144.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RoyalsGuardians
Games played2020
Wins1011
Losses109
Runs scored8891
Runs conceded8593
Scored per game4.44.5
Conceded per game4.34.7
Home record5W 6L5W 6L
Away record5W 4L6W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Royals spreadCoversFair
Royals -1.531%+223
Royals -0.540%+151
Royals +0.549%+103
Royals +1.559%-141
Royals +2.568%-208
Total runsOverUnder
7.566%34%
8.557%43%
9.548%52%
10.539%61%
11.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Royals +3.5 wins if Royals win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals?

Our prediction for Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals is Cleveland Guardians to win, with a 59% chance. We project Cleveland Guardians 5.0 and Kansas City Royals 4.4. Our best bet is Under 11.5 runs at -240.

What is the projected score for Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals?

We project Cleveland Guardians 5.0 and Kansas City Royals 4.4, about 9.3 runs in total.

How are Kansas City Royals playing?

Kansas City Royals have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 88 runs scored and 85 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Cleveland Guardians playing?

Cleveland Guardians have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 91 runs scored and 93 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Kansas City Royals and Cleveland Guardians last met?

It ended Cleveland Guardians 11, Kansas City Royals 1. In the last 5 meetings Kansas City Royals won 2 and Cleveland Guardians won 3.

What is the best bet for Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals?

Under 11.5 runs at -240, with a 71% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Royals against Guardians. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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