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Predictions › Champions League › Club Brugge vs Lens
Champions LeagueWed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Club Brugge vs Lens prediction

Jan Breydel Stadium

Club BruggeHome
2.64 : 1.47
expected goals
LensAway
62%Club Brugge
18%Draw
19%Lens
Eagle safe pickClub Brugge or Draw
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Club Brugge vs Lens is Club Brugge to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Club Brugge or Draw at 1.28.

Prediction
Club Brugge to win
Chance
62%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Club Brugge 2.6, Lens 1.5
Best bet
Club Brugge or Draw at 1.28
Both teams to score
72%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Club Brugge or Draw
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Club Brugge to win and both score
40% chanceFair price 2.501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Club Brugge 62%, the draw 18% and Lens 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Club Brugge took 12 points from their last 5 games and Lens took 7 from 5. Club Brugge come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Club Brugge won 10 of their last 11 games at home. Lens won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Club Brugge score 2.9 goals a game and let in 0.8. Lens score 2.1 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Club Brugge games and 15 of Lens games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Club Brugge or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Club Bruggerecent form+3%
  • Lensrecent form-1%
  • Club Bruggerest between games-5%
  • Lensrest between games-2%
Club Brugge form D W W L WLens form D L D W LHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Club Brugge vs Lens: Club Brugge are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Club Brugge host Lens in the Champions League on Wed 21 Oct, 19:00 at Jan Breydel Stadium. Our prediction for Club Brugge vs Lens is Club Brugge to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Club Brugge or Draw at 1.28.

Club Brugge form

Club Brugge have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 10 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Lens form

Lens have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Club Brugge to score about 2.6 goals and Lens about 1.5. That points to Club Brugge to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Club Brugge or Draw at 1.28. Our bold bet is Club Brugge to win and both score at 2.50.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Club BruggeLens
Games played2020
Wins169
Draws14
Losses37
Goals scored5743
Goals conceded1730
Scored per game2.92.1
Conceded per game0.81.5
Home record10W 0D 1L6W 0D 3L
Away record6W 1D 2L3W 4D 4L
Clean sheets45%20%
Both teams scored55%65%
Over 2.5 goals80%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals92%1.09
Over 2.5 goals78%1.29
Over 3.5 goals59%1.70
Both teams to score72%1.39
Club Brugge or Draw81%1.24
Lens or Draw38%2.65
Club Brugge to win and Over 2.553%1.90
Lens to win and Over 2.516%6.40
Club Brugge clean sheet23%4.35
Lens clean sheet7%14.05

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.4%
3-17.4%
1-16.7%
2-26.2%
2-05.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Club Brugge vs Lens?

Our prediction for Club Brugge vs Lens is Club Brugge to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Club Brugge or Draw at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Club Brugge vs Lens?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 1-1. We expect Club Brugge to score 2.6 goals and Lens 1.5.

Will both teams score in Club Brugge vs Lens?

Both teams to score has a 72% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Club Brugge last 20 games and 13 of Lens last 20.

How are Club Brugge playing?

Club Brugge have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 10 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Lens playing?

Lens have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Club Brugge vs Lens?

Club Brugge or Draw at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Club Brugge against Lens. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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