Predictions › Chile › Cobresal vs Audax Italiano

Chilean Primera DivisionFri 20 Nov, 21:00 Chile time

Cobresal vs Audax Italiano prediction

Estadio El Cobre

CobresalHome

1.68 : 0.88

expected goals

Audax ItalianoAway

56%Cobresal

25%Draw

19%Audax Italiano

Eagle safe pickCobresal or Draw

1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cobresal vs Audax Italiano is Cobresal to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Cobresal or Draw at 1.24.

Prediction: Cobresal to win
Chance: 56%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: Cobresal 1.7, Audax Italiano 0.9
Best bet: Cobresal or Draw at 1.24
Both teams to score: 48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cobresal or Draw

81% chanceFair price 1.242 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cobresal to win and Over 2.5

32% chanceFair price 3.131 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Cobresal 56%, the draw 25% and Audax Italiano 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Cobresal took 6 points from their last 5 games and Audax Italiano took 5 from 5. Cobresal come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Cobresal won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Audax Italiano won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Cobresal score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.9. Audax Italiano score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Cobresal games and 9 of Audax Italiano games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Cobresal won 1 and Audax Italiano won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Audax Italiano 2, Cobresal 1.
6
The safest bet
Cobresal or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Cobresalrecent form+1%
Audax Italianorecent form-4%
Cobresalrest between games-2%
Audax Italianorest between games-2%

Cobresal form D D D D WAudax Italiano form L L D D LHome edge in this league 33% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cobresal vs Audax Italiano: Cobresal are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cobresal host Audax Italiano in the Chilean Primera Division on Fri 20 Nov, 21:00 at Estadio El Cobre. Our prediction for Cobresal vs Audax Italiano is Cobresal to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Cobresal or Draw at 1.24.

Cobresal form

Cobresal have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, W, newest first.

Audax Italiano form

Audax Italiano have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Cobresal won 1, Audax Italiano won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Audax Italiano 2, Cobresal 1.

Our call

We expect Cobresal to score about 1.7 goals and Audax Italiano about 0.9. That points to Cobresal to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Cobresal or Draw at 1.24. Our bold bet is Cobresal to win and Over 2.5 at 3.13.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Cobresal	Audax Italiano
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	4
Draws	5	8
Losses	11	8
Goals scored	27	21
Goals conceded	37	31
Scored per game	1.4	1.1
Conceded per game	1.9	1.6
Home record	4W 2D 3L	2W 5D 3L
Away record	0W 3D 8L	2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets	15%	25%
Both teams scored	55%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	73%	1.37
Over 2.5 goals	47%	2.12
Over 3.5 goals	26%	3.91
Both teams to score	48%	2.07
Cobresal or Draw	81%	1.23
Audax Italiano or Draw	44%	2.25
Cobresal to win and Over 2.5	32%	3.08
Audax Italiano to win and Over 2.5	10%	10.24
Cobresal clean sheet	41%	2.41
Audax Italiano clean sheet	19%	5.38

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-012.3%

1-112.1%

2-010.9%

2-19.6%

0-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cobresal vs Audax Italiano?

Our prediction for Cobresal vs Audax Italiano is Cobresal to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Cobresal or Draw at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Cobresal vs Audax Italiano?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Cobresal to score 1.7 goals and Audax Italiano 0.9.

Will both teams score in Cobresal vs Audax Italiano?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Cobresal last 20 games and 12 of Audax Italiano last 20.

How are Cobresal playing?

How are Audax Italiano playing?

What happened when Cobresal and Audax Italiano last met?

It ended Audax Italiano 2, Cobresal 1. In the last 2 meetings Cobresal won 1 and Audax Italiano won 1.

What is the best bet for Cobresal vs Audax Italiano?

Cobresal or Draw at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cobresal against Audax Italiano. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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