Predictions › Chile › Cobresal vs Everton CD
Chilean Primera DivisionSun 1 Nov, 17:15 Chile time

Cobresal vs Everton CD prediction

Estadio El Cobre

CobresalHome
1.28 : 1.62
expected goals
Everton CDAway
30%Cobresal
26%Draw
45%Everton CD
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cobresal vs Everton CD is Everton CD to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
Everton CD to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Cobresal 1.3, Everton CD 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Everton CD to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cobresal 30%, the draw 26% and Everton CD 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cobresal took 8 points from their last 5 games and Everton CD took 12 from 5. Everton CD come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cobresal won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Everton CD won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cobresal score 1.4 goals a game and let in 2.1. Everton CD score 1.9 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Cobresal games and 11 of Everton CD games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Cobresal won 0 and Everton CD won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Everton CD 3, Cobresal 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cobresalrecent form+1%
  • Everton CDrecent form-1%
Cobresal form D W L W DEverton CD form D D L W LHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cobresal vs Everton CD: Everton CD shade it

The big picture

Cobresal host Everton CD in the Chilean Primera Division on Sun 1 Nov, 17:15 at Estadio El Cobre. Our prediction for Cobresal vs Everton CD is Everton CD to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Cobresal form

Cobresal have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 42 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Everton CD form

Everton CD have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Cobresal won 0, Everton CD won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Everton CD 3, Cobresal 1.

Our call

We expect Cobresal to score about 1.3 goals and Everton CD about 1.6. That points to Everton CD to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Everton CD to win and Over 2.5 at 3.55.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CobresalEverton CD
Games played2020
Wins410
Draws36
Losses134
Goals scored2737
Goals conceded4221
Scored per game1.41.9
Conceded per game2.11.1
Home record4W 1D 5L4W 4D 3L
Away record0W 2D 8L6W 2D 1L
Clean sheets15%30%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals55%1.81
Over 3.5 goals33%3.03
Both teams to score59%1.71
Cobresal or Draw55%1.80
Everton CD or Draw70%1.42
Cobresal to win and Over 2.519%5.34
Everton CD to win and Over 2.529%3.43
Cobresal clean sheet20%5.04
Everton CD clean sheet28%3.60

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
1-29.2%
0-18.2%
2-17.3%
0-27.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cobresal vs Everton CD?

Our prediction for Cobresal vs Everton CD is Everton CD to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Cobresal vs Everton CD?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Cobresal to score 1.3 goals and Everton CD 1.6.

Will both teams score in Cobresal vs Everton CD?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Cobresal last 20 games and 12 of Everton CD last 20.

How are Cobresal playing?

Cobresal have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 42 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Everton CD playing?

Everton CD have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Cobresal and Everton CD last met?

It ended Everton CD 3, Cobresal 1. In the last 2 meetings Cobresal won 0 and Everton CD won 2.

What is the best bet for Cobresal vs Everton CD?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cobresal against Everton CD. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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