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Predictions › United Kingdom › Colchester United vs Worcester City
FA CupSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Colchester United vs Worcester City prediction

JobServe Community Stadium

Colchester UnitedHome
1.78 : 1.47
expected goals
WCWorcester CityAway
44%Colchester
24%Draw
31%Worcester Ci
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/11

Quick answer

Our prediction for Colchester United vs Worcester City is Colchester United to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Prediction
Colchester United to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Colchester United 1.8, Worcester City 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/11
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 2/112 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Colchester United to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 9/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colchester United 44%, the draw 24% and Worcester City 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Colchesterrecent form-3%
  • Worcester Cirecent form+4%
  • Colchesterrest between games-3%
Colchester form D D D L LWorcester Ci form D D W W WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Colchester United vs Worcester City: Colchester United shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Colchester United host Worcester City in the FA Cup on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at JobServe Community Stadium. Our prediction for Colchester United vs Worcester City is Colchester United to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Colchester United form

Colchester United have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 2 games, with 2 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 2. Their last 2 results read L, L, newest first.

Worcester City form

Worcester City have no recent games in our records yet.

Our call

We expect Colchester United to score about 1.8 goals and Worcester City about 1.5. That points to Colchester United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11. Our bold bet is Colchester United to win and Over 2.5 at 9/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 2 games in all competitions.

ColchesterWorcester Ci
Games played2n/a
Wins0n/a
Draws0n/a
Losses2n/a
Goals scored2n/a
Goals conceded5n/a
Scored per game1.0n/a
Conceded per game2.5n/a
Home record0W 0D 2Ln/a
Away recordn/an/a
Clean sheets0%n/a
Both teams scored50%n/a
Over 2.5 goals50%n/a

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%2/11
Over 2.5 goals63%4/7
Over 3.5 goals41%7/5
Both teams to score65%8/15
Colchester United or Draw69%4/9
Worcester City or Draw56%4/5
Colchester United to win and Over 2.532%85/40
Worcester City to win and Over 2.522%7/2
Colchester United clean sheet23%10/3
Worcester City clean sheet17%5/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.7%
2-19.0%
1-27.5%
2-26.6%
1-06.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Colchester United vs Worcester City?

Our prediction for Colchester United vs Worcester City is Colchester United to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

What is the score prediction for Colchester United vs Worcester City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Colchester United to score 1.8 goals and Worcester City 1.5.

Will both teams score in Colchester United vs Worcester City?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance.

How are Colchester United playing?

Colchester United have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 2 games, with 2 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 2. Their last 2 results read L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Colchester United vs Worcester City?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/11, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Colchester against Worcester Ci. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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