Predictions › Chile › Colo Colo vs Deportes Concepcion

Chilean Primera DivisionSun 13 Sept, 20:30 Chile time

Colo Colo vs Deportes Concepcion prediction

Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Colo ColoHome

2.02 : 0.85

expected goals

Deportes ConcepcionAway

64%Colo Colo

22%Draw

14%Concepcion

Eagle safe pickColo Colo draw no bet

1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Colo Colo vs Deportes Concepcion is Colo Colo to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Colo Colo draw no bet at 1.18.

Prediction: Colo Colo to win
Chance: 64%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: Colo Colo 2.0, Deportes Concepcion 0.8
Best bet: Colo Colo draw no bet at 1.18
Both teams to score: 50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Colo Colo draw no bet

84% chanceFair price 1.182 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Colo Colo to win and Over 2.5

38% chanceFair price 2.601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Colo Colo 64%, the draw 22% and Deportes Concepcion 14%. The bookmakers agree and make Colo Colo the favourite at 1.43.
2
Recent form
Colo Colo took 11 points from their last 5 games and Deportes Concepcion took 10 from 5. Colo Colo come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Colo Colo won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Deportes Concepcion won 4 of their last 8 on the road.
4
Goals
Colo Colo score 2.2 goals a game and let in 0.9. Deportes Concepcion score 1.1 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Colo Colo games and 6 of Deportes Concepcion games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Colo Colo won 1 and Deportes Concepcion won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Deportes Concepcion 0, Colo Colo 1.
6
The safest bet
Colo Colo draw no bet has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Colo Colorecent form+4%
Concepcionrecent form+3%

Colo Colo form D W W W DConcepcion form L W D W WHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Colo Colo vs Deportes Concepcion: Colo Colo are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Colo Colo host Deportes Concepcion in the Chilean Primera Division on Sun 13 Sept, 20:30 at Estadio Monumental David Arellano. Our prediction for Colo Colo vs Deportes Concepcion is Colo Colo to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Colo Colo draw no bet at 1.18.

Colo Colo form

Colo Colo have 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Deportes Concepcion form

Deportes Concepcion have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Colo Colo won 1, Deportes Concepcion won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Deportes Concepcion 0, Colo Colo 1.

Our call

We expect Colo Colo to score about 2.0 goals and Deportes Concepcion about 0.8. That points to Colo Colo to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Colo Colo draw no bet at 1.18. Our bold bet is Colo Colo to win and Over 2.5 at 2.60.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Colo Colo	Concepcion
Games played	20	20
Wins	16	9
Draws	2	3
Losses	2	8
Goals scored	44	23
Goals conceded	18	21
Scored per game	2.2	1.1
Conceded per game	0.9	1.1
Home record	7W 1D 2L	5W 3D 4L
Away record	9W 1D 0L	4W 0D 4L
Clean sheets	35%	40%
Both teams scored	55%	30%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Colo Colo to win	65%	1.54	1.43	-7.6%
A Draw	20%	5.00	4.70	-5.9%
Deportes Concepcion to win	13%	7.99	7.00	-12.4%
Over 2.5 goals	56%	1.79	1.67	-6.6%
Under 2.5 goals	42%	2.41	2.15	-10.8%
Colo Colo -1.5	40%	2.49	2.10	-15.8%
Deportes Concepcion +1.5	57%	1.74	1.67	-4.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	79%	1.27
Over 2.5 goals	55%	1.82
Over 3.5 goals	33%	3.08
Both teams to score	50%	1.98
Colo Colo or Draw	86%	1.17
Deportes Concepcion or Draw	36%	2.78
Colo Colo to win and Over 2.5	42%	2.40
Deportes Concepcion to win and Over 2.5	8%	12.36
Colo Colo clean sheet	43%	2.35
Deportes Concepcion clean sheet	13%	7.56

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-011.5%

1-010.8%

1-110.3%

2-19.8%

3-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Colo Colo vs Deportes Concepcion?

Our prediction for Colo Colo vs Deportes Concepcion is Colo Colo to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Colo Colo draw no bet at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Colo Colo vs Deportes Concepcion?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Colo Colo to score 2.0 goals and Deportes Concepcion 0.8.

Will both teams score in Colo Colo vs Deportes Concepcion?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Colo Colo last 20 games and 6 of Deportes Concepcion last 20.

How are Colo Colo playing?

How are Deportes Concepcion playing?

What happened when Colo Colo and Deportes Concepcion last met?

It ended Deportes Concepcion 0, Colo Colo 1. In the last 1 meeting Colo Colo won 1 and Deportes Concepcion won 0.

What is the best bet for Colo Colo vs Deportes Concepcion?

Colo Colo draw no bet at 1.18, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Colo Colo against Concepcion. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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