Predictions › Chile › Colo Colo vs Universidad Católica

Chilean Primera DivisionSun 22 Nov, 21:00 Chile time

Colo Colo vs Universidad Católica prediction

Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Colo ColoHome

1.84 : 1.32

expected goals

Universidad CatólicaAway

49%Colo Colo

24%Draw

27%U Católica

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Colo Colo vs Universidad Católica is Colo Colo to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction: Colo Colo to win
Chance: 49%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Colo Colo 1.8, Universidad Católica 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score: 62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1.212 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Colo Colo to win and Over 2.5

34% chanceFair price 2.941 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Colo Colo 49%, the draw 24% and Universidad Católica 27%. The bookmakers agree and make Colo Colo the favourite at 2.05.
2
Recent form
Colo Colo took 8 points from their last 5 games and Universidad Católica took 10 from 5. Universidad Católica come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Colo Colo won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Universidad Católica won 6 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Colo Colo score 2.5 goals a game and let in 1.3. Universidad Católica score 1.8 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Colo Colo games and 12 of Universidad Católica games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Colo Colo won 1 and Universidad Católica won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Universidad Católica 1, Colo Colo 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Colo Colorecent form+3%
U Católicarecent form+1%

Colo Colo form W W W D LU Católica form W W D L DHome edge in this league 33% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Colo Colo vs Universidad Católica: Colo Colo are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Colo Colo host Universidad Católica in the Chilean Primera Division on Sun 22 Nov, 21:00 at Estadio Monumental David Arellano. Our prediction for Colo Colo vs Universidad Católica is Colo Colo to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Colo Colo form

Colo Colo have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, D, newest first.

Universidad Católica form

Universidad Católica have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Colo Colo won 1, Universidad Católica won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Universidad Católica 1, Colo Colo 2.

Our call

We expect Colo Colo to score about 1.8 goals and Universidad Católica about 1.3. That points to Colo Colo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Colo Colo to win and Over 2.5 at 2.94.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Colo Colo	U Católica
Games played	20	20
Wins	14	12
Draws	4	3
Losses	2	5
Goals scored	51	36
Goals conceded	26	24
Scored per game	2.5	1.8
Conceded per game	1.3	1.2
Home record	6W 2D 1L	6W 2D 3L
Away record	8W 2D 1L	6W 1D 2L
Clean sheets	15%	40%
Both teams scored	80%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Colo Colo to win	46%	2.18	2.05	-5.8%
A Draw	23%	4.28	3.65	-14.8%
Universidad Católica to win	26%	3.80	3.15	-17.0%
Over 2.5 goals	53%	1.87	1.59	-15.1%
Under 2.5 goals	40%	2.52	2.20	-12.6%
Colo Colo -0.5	45%	2.22	1.91	-14.1%
Universidad Católica +0.5	48%	2.07	1.71	-17.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	83%	1.20
Over 2.5 goals	61%	1.63
Over 3.5 goals	39%	2.57
Both teams to score	62%	1.61
Colo Colo or Draw	73%	1.37
Universidad Católica or Draw	51%	1.97
Colo Colo to win and Over 2.5	35%	2.88
Universidad Católica to win and Over 2.5	18%	5.49
Colo Colo clean sheet	27%	3.74
Universidad Católica clean sheet	16%	6.32

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.9%

2-19.5%

2-07.2%

1-07.2%

1-26.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Colo Colo vs Universidad Católica?

Our prediction for Colo Colo vs Universidad Católica is Colo Colo to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Colo Colo vs Universidad Católica?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Colo Colo to score 1.8 goals and Universidad Católica 1.3.

Will both teams score in Colo Colo vs Universidad Católica?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Colo Colo last 20 games and 10 of Universidad Católica last 20.

How are Colo Colo playing?

How are Universidad Católica playing?

What happened when Colo Colo and Universidad Católica last met?

It ended Universidad Católica 1, Colo Colo 2. In the last 1 meeting Colo Colo won 1 and Universidad Católica won 0.

What is the best bet for Colo Colo vs Universidad Católica?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Colo Colo against U Católica. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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