Predictions › Chile › Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepción

Chilean Primera DivisionFri 30 Oct, 22:00 Chile time

Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepción prediction

Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Colo ColoHome

2.71 : 0.76

expected goals

Universidad de ConcepciónAway

78%Colo Colo

14%Draw

8%U Concepción

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.16

Quick answer

Our prediction for Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepción is Colo Colo to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.16.

Prediction: Colo Colo to win
Chance: 78%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: Colo Colo 2.7, Universidad de Concepción 0.8
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.16
Both teams to score: 50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

86% chanceFair price 1.162 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Colo Colo to win and both score

34% chanceFair price 2.911 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Colo Colo 78%, the draw 14% and Universidad de Concepción 8%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Colo Colo took 8 points from their last 5 games and Universidad de Concepción took 4 from 5. Colo Colo come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Colo Colo won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Universidad de Concepción won 1 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Colo Colo score 2.3 goals a game and let in 1.2. Universidad de Concepción score 0.7 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Colo Colo games and 9 of Universidad de Concepción games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Colo Colo won 1 and Universidad de Concepción won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Universidad de Concepción 1, Colo Colo 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Colo Colorecent form+3%
U Concepciónrecent form-3%

Colo Colo form D W W D DU Concepción form D L L L WHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepción: Colo Colo are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Colo Colo host Universidad de Concepción in the Chilean Primera Division on Fri 30 Oct, 22:00 at Estadio Monumental David Arellano. Our prediction for Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepción is Colo Colo to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.16.

Colo Colo form

Colo Colo have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, W, newest first.

Universidad de Concepción form

Universidad de Concepción have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Colo Colo won 1, Universidad de Concepción won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Universidad de Concepción 1, Colo Colo 2.

Our call

We expect Colo Colo to score about 2.7 goals and Universidad de Concepción about 0.8. That points to Colo Colo to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.16. Our bold bet is Colo Colo to win and both score at 2.91.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Colo Colo	U Concepción
Games played	20	20
Wins	14	4
Draws	3	4
Losses	3	12
Goals scored	45	14
Goals conceded	24	35
Scored per game	2.3	0.7
Conceded per game	1.2	1.8
Home record	6W 2D 2L	3W 1D 5L
Away record	8W 1D 1L	1W 3D 7L
Clean sheets	25%	20%
Both teams scored	65%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	86%	1.16
Over 2.5 goals	67%	1.49
Over 3.5 goals	46%	2.20
Both teams to score	50%	2.00
Colo Colo or Draw	92%	1.08
Universidad de Concepción or Draw	22%	4.55
Colo Colo to win and Over 2.5	58%	1.71
Universidad de Concepción to win and Over 2.5	5%	21.57
Colo Colo clean sheet	47%	2.13
Universidad de Concepción clean sheet	7%	15.00

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-011.5%

3-010.4%

2-18.7%

1-08.1%

3-17.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepción?

Our prediction for Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepción is Colo Colo to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.16.

What is the score prediction for Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepción?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 2-1. We expect Colo Colo to score 2.7 goals and Universidad de Concepción 0.8.

Will both teams score in Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepción?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Colo Colo last 20 games and 9 of Universidad de Concepción last 20.

How are Colo Colo playing?

How are Universidad de Concepción playing?

What happened when Colo Colo and Universidad de Concepción last met?

It ended Universidad de Concepción 1, Colo Colo 2. In the last 1 meeting Colo Colo won 1 and Universidad de Concepción won 0.

What is the best bet for Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepción?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.16, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Colo Colo against U Concepción. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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