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Predictions › United States › Colorado Avalanche vs Calgary Flames
NHLThu 8 Oct, 21:00 United States time

Colorado Avalanche vs Calgary Flames prediction

Scotiabank Saddledome

Colorado AvalancheAway
2.9 : 2.3
projected goals
Calgary FlamesHome
65%Avalanche
35%Flames
Eagle safe pickUnder 7 goals
-388

Quick answer

Our prediction for Colorado Avalanche vs Calgary Flames is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 65% chance. We project Colorado Avalanche 2.9 and Calgary Flames 2.3. Our best bet is Under 7 goals at -388.

Prediction
Colorado Avalanche to win
Chance
65%
Projected score
Colorado Avalanche 3, Calgary Flames 2
Projected total
5.2 goals
Best bet
Under 7 goals at -388

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 7 goals
79% chanceFair price -3882 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Flames to win
35% chanceFair price +1841 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Calgary Flames 35% and Colorado Avalanche 65%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Calgary Flames won 2 of their last 5 and Colorado Avalanche won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Calgary Flames won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Colorado Avalanche won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Calgary Flames score 2.8 goals a game and let in 3.3. Colorado Avalanche score 3.0 and let in 2.4. Their recent games average 6.0 and 5.4 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Calgary Flames won 0 and Colorado Avalanche won 3. The last one ended Calgary Flames 1, Colorado Avalanche 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 7 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Flamesrest between games-2%
  • Avalancherest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Colorado Avalanche vs Calgary Flames: Colorado Avalanche are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Calgary Flames host Colorado Avalanche in the NHL on Thu 8 Oct, 21:00 at Scotiabank Saddledome. Our prediction for Colorado Avalanche vs Calgary Flames is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 65% chance. We project Colorado Avalanche 2.9 and Calgary Flames 2.3. Our best bet is Under 7 goals at -388.

Calgary Flames form

Calgary Flames have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 65 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Colorado Avalanche form

Colorado Avalanche have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 47 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Calgary Flames won 0, Colorado Avalanche won 3. Last time out it finished Calgary Flames 1, Colorado Avalanche 3.

Our call

We expect Colorado Avalanche to score about 2.9 goals and Calgary Flames about 2.3. That points to Colorado Avalanche to win. Our safest bet is Under 7 goals at -388. Our bold bet is Flames to win at +184.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FlamesAvalanche
Games played2020
Wins913
Losses117
Goals scored5661
Goals conceded6547
Scored per game2.83.0
Conceded per game3.32.4
Home record8W 3L8W 2L
Away record1W 8L5W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Flames spreadCoversFair
Flames -0.532%+215
Flames +0.548%+110
Flames +1.564%-178
Total goalsOverUnder
4.562%38%
5.545%55%
6.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Flames +3.5 wins if Flames win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Colorado Avalanche vs Calgary Flames?

Our prediction for Colorado Avalanche vs Calgary Flames is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 65% chance. We project Colorado Avalanche 2.9 and Calgary Flames 2.3. Our best bet is Under 7 goals at -388.

What is the projected score for Colorado Avalanche vs Calgary Flames?

We project Colorado Avalanche 2.9 and Calgary Flames 2.3, about 5.2 goals in total.

How are Calgary Flames playing?

Calgary Flames have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 65 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Colorado Avalanche playing?

Colorado Avalanche have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 47 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Calgary Flames and Colorado Avalanche last met?

It ended Calgary Flames 1, Colorado Avalanche 3. In the last 3 meetings Calgary Flames won 0 and Colorado Avalanche won 3.

What is the best bet for Colorado Avalanche vs Calgary Flames?

Under 7 goals at -388, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Flames against Avalanche. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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