Predictions › United States › Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars
NHLTue 13 Oct, 20:30 United States time

Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars prediction

American Airlines Center

Colorado AvalancheAway
2.9 : 2.3
projected goals
Dallas StarsHome
63%Avalanche
37%Stars
Eagle safe pickUnder 7 goals
-389

Quick answer

Our prediction for Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 63% chance. We project Colorado Avalanche 2.9 and Dallas Stars 2.3. Our best bet is Under 7 goals at -389.

Prediction
Colorado Avalanche to win
Chance
63%
Projected score
Colorado Avalanche 3, Dallas Stars 2
Projected total
5.2 goals
Best bet
Under 7 goals at -389

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 7 goals
80% chanceFair price -3892 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Stars to win
37% chanceFair price +1671 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dallas Stars 37% and Colorado Avalanche 63%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dallas Stars won 4 of their last 5 and Colorado Avalanche won 3 of their last 5. Dallas Stars come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dallas Stars won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Colorado Avalanche won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Dallas Stars score 2.5 goals a game and let in 2.8. Colorado Avalanche score 3.4 and let in 2.5. Their recent games average 5.3 and 5.8 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Dallas Stars won 3 and Colorado Avalanche won 2. The last one ended Dallas Stars 0, Colorado Avalanche 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 7 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Starsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars: Colorado Avalanche are favourites

The big picture

Dallas Stars host Colorado Avalanche in the NHL on Tue 13 Oct, 20:30 at American Airlines Center. Our prediction for Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 63% chance. We project Colorado Avalanche 2.9 and Dallas Stars 2.3. Our best bet is Under 7 goals at -389.

Dallas Stars form

Dallas Stars have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 55 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Colorado Avalanche form

Colorado Avalanche have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 67 goals scored and 50 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Dallas Stars won 3, Colorado Avalanche won 2. Last time out it finished Dallas Stars 0, Colorado Avalanche 2.

Our call

We expect Colorado Avalanche to score about 2.9 goals and Dallas Stars about 2.3. That points to Colorado Avalanche to win. Our safest bet is Under 7 goals at -389. Our bold bet is Stars to win at +167.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

StarsAvalanche
Games played2020
Wins1213
Losses87
Goals scored5167
Goals conceded5550
Scored per game2.53.4
Conceded per game2.82.5
Home record7W 4L9W 2L
Away record5W 4L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Stars spreadCoversFair
Stars -0.533%+202
Stars +0.549%+103
Stars +1.565%-190
Total goalsOverUnder
4.562%38%
5.545%55%
6.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Stars +3.5 wins if Stars win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars?

Our prediction for Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 63% chance. We project Colorado Avalanche 2.9 and Dallas Stars 2.3. Our best bet is Under 7 goals at -389.

What is the projected score for Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars?

We project Colorado Avalanche 2.9 and Dallas Stars 2.3, about 5.2 goals in total.

How are Dallas Stars playing?

Dallas Stars have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 55 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Colorado Avalanche playing?

Colorado Avalanche have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 67 goals scored and 50 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche last met?

It ended Dallas Stars 0, Colorado Avalanche 2. In the last 5 meetings Dallas Stars won 3 and Colorado Avalanche won 2.

What is the best bet for Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars?

Under 7 goals at -389, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Stars against Avalanche. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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