Predictions › United States › Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators
NHLThu 12 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators prediction

Canadian Tire Centre

Colorado AvalancheAway
3.0 : 2.7
projected goals
Ottawa SenatorsHome
57%Avalanche
43%Senators
Eagle safe pickOver 4 goals
-402

Quick answer

Our prediction for Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Colorado Avalanche 3.0 and Ottawa Senators 2.7. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -402.

Prediction
Colorado Avalanche to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Colorado Avalanche 3, Ottawa Senators 3
Projected total
5.7 goals
Best bet
Over 4 goals at -402

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 4 goals
80% chanceFair price -4022 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Senators to win
43% chanceFair price +1341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ottawa Senators 43% and Colorado Avalanche 57%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ottawa Senators won 2 of their last 5 and Colorado Avalanche won 3 of their last 5. Colorado Avalanche come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Ottawa Senators won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Colorado Avalanche won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Ottawa Senators score 3.0 goals a game and let in 3.4. Colorado Avalanche score 3.6 and let in 3.0. Their recent games average 6.5 and 6.6 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Ottawa Senators won 1 and Colorado Avalanche won 1. The last one ended Ottawa Senators 5, Colorado Avalanche 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 4 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Senatorsrest between games-5%
  • Avalancherest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators: Colorado Avalanche shade it

The big picture

Ottawa Senators host Colorado Avalanche in the NHL on Thu 12 Nov, 19:00 at Canadian Tire Centre. Our prediction for Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Colorado Avalanche 3.0 and Ottawa Senators 2.7. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -402.

Ottawa Senators form

Ottawa Senators have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 68 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Colorado Avalanche form

Colorado Avalanche have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 73 goals scored and 59 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Ottawa Senators won 1, Colorado Avalanche won 1. Last time out it finished Ottawa Senators 5, Colorado Avalanche 2.

Our call

We expect Colorado Avalanche to score about 3.0 goals and Ottawa Senators about 2.7. That points to Colorado Avalanche to win. Our safest bet is Over 4 goals at -402. Our bold bet is Senators to win at +134.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SenatorsAvalanche
Games played2020
Wins1010
Losses1010
Goals scored6173
Goals conceded6859
Scored per game3.03.6
Conceded per game3.43.0
Home record6W 3L8W 2L
Away record4W 7L2W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Senators spreadCoversFair
Senators -0.537%+168
Senators +0.554%-116
Senators +1.570%-228
Total goalsOverUnder
4.570%30%
5.553%47%
6.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Senators +3.5 wins if Senators win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators?

Our prediction for Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Colorado Avalanche 3.0 and Ottawa Senators 2.7. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -402.

What is the projected score for Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators?

We project Colorado Avalanche 3.0 and Ottawa Senators 2.7, about 5.7 goals in total.

How are Ottawa Senators playing?

Ottawa Senators have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 68 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Colorado Avalanche playing?

Colorado Avalanche have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 73 goals scored and 59 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Ottawa Senators and Colorado Avalanche last met?

It ended Ottawa Senators 5, Colorado Avalanche 2. In the last 2 meetings Ottawa Senators won 1 and Colorado Avalanche won 1.

What is the best bet for Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators?

Over 4 goals at -402, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Senators against Avalanche. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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