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Predictions › United States › Colorado Avalanche vs Philadelphia Flyers
NHLMon 19 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Colorado Avalanche vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction

Xfinity Mobile Arena

Colorado AvalancheAway
3.2 : 2.0
projected goals
Philadelphia FlyersHome
73%Avalanche
27%Flyers
Eagle safe pickUnder 7 goals
-383

Quick answer

Our prediction for Colorado Avalanche vs Philadelphia Flyers is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 73% chance. We project Colorado Avalanche 3.2 and Philadelphia Flyers 2.0. Our best bet is Under 7 goals at -383.

Prediction
Colorado Avalanche to win
Chance
73%
Projected score
Colorado Avalanche 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2
Projected total
5.2 goals
Best bet
Under 7 goals at -383

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 7 goals
79% chanceFair price -3832 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Flyers to win
27% chanceFair price +2691 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Philadelphia Flyers 27% and Colorado Avalanche 73%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Philadelphia Flyers won 0 of their last 5 and Colorado Avalanche won 3 of their last 5. Colorado Avalanche come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Philadelphia Flyers won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Colorado Avalanche won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Philadelphia Flyers score 1.9 goals a game and let in 3.0. Colorado Avalanche score 3.8 and let in 2.8. Their recent games average 4.8 and 6.5 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Philadelphia Flyers won 1 and Colorado Avalanche won 1. The last one ended Colorado Avalanche 3, Philadelphia Flyers 7.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 7 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Flyersrest between games-5%
  • Avalancherest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Colorado Avalanche vs Philadelphia Flyers: Colorado Avalanche are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Philadelphia Flyers host Colorado Avalanche in the NHL on Mon 19 Oct, 19:00 at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Our prediction for Colorado Avalanche vs Philadelphia Flyers is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 73% chance. We project Colorado Avalanche 3.2 and Philadelphia Flyers 2.0. Our best bet is Under 7 goals at -383.

Philadelphia Flyers form

Philadelphia Flyers have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 60 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Colorado Avalanche form

Colorado Avalanche have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 75 goals scored and 55 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Philadelphia Flyers won 1, Colorado Avalanche won 1. Last time out it finished Colorado Avalanche 3, Philadelphia Flyers 7.

Our call

We expect Colorado Avalanche to score about 3.2 goals and Philadelphia Flyers about 2.0. That points to Colorado Avalanche to win. Our safest bet is Under 7 goals at -383. Our bold bet is Flyers to win at +269.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FlyersAvalanche
Games played2020
Wins612
Losses148
Goals scored3775
Goals conceded6055
Scored per game1.93.8
Conceded per game3.02.8
Home record4W 6L8W 2L
Away record2W 8L4W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Flyers spreadCoversFair
Flyers +0.539%+157
Flyers +1.555%-124
Flyers +2.571%-244
Total goalsOverUnder
4.561%39%
5.544%56%
6.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Flyers +3.5 wins if Flyers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Colorado Avalanche vs Philadelphia Flyers?

Our prediction for Colorado Avalanche vs Philadelphia Flyers is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 73% chance. We project Colorado Avalanche 3.2 and Philadelphia Flyers 2.0. Our best bet is Under 7 goals at -383.

What is the projected score for Colorado Avalanche vs Philadelphia Flyers?

We project Colorado Avalanche 3.2 and Philadelphia Flyers 2.0, about 5.2 goals in total.

How are Philadelphia Flyers playing?

Philadelphia Flyers have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 60 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Colorado Avalanche playing?

Colorado Avalanche have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 75 goals scored and 55 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Philadelphia Flyers and Colorado Avalanche last met?

It ended Colorado Avalanche 3, Philadelphia Flyers 7. In the last 2 meetings Philadelphia Flyers won 1 and Colorado Avalanche won 1.

What is the best bet for Colorado Avalanche vs Philadelphia Flyers?

Under 7 goals at -383, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Flyers against Avalanche. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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