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Predictions › United States › Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs
NHLTue 10 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction

Scotiabank Arena

Colorado AvalancheAway
3.5 : 2.6
projected goals
Toronto Maple LeafsHome
67%Avalanche
33%Maple Leafs
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-467

Quick answer

Our prediction for Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 67% chance. We project Colorado Avalanche 3.5 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.6. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -467.

Prediction
Colorado Avalanche to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Colorado Avalanche 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Projected total
6.2 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -467

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
82% chanceFair price -4672 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Maple Leafs to win
33% chanceFair price +2061 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toronto Maple Leafs 33% and Colorado Avalanche 67%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 3 of their last 5 and Colorado Avalanche won 2 of their last 5. Toronto Maple Leafs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Colorado Avalanche won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Toronto Maple Leafs score 3.7 goals a game and let in 3.2. Colorado Avalanche score 3.5 and let in 3.0. Their recent games average 6.9 and 6.5 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Toronto Maple Leafs won 2 and Colorado Avalanche won 1. The last one ended Colorado Avalanche 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 6.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Maple Leafsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Colorado Avalanche are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Toronto Maple Leafs host Colorado Avalanche in the NHL on Tue 10 Nov, 19:00 at Scotiabank Arena. Our prediction for Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 67% chance. We project Colorado Avalanche 3.5 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.6. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -467.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 74 goals scored and 64 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Colorado Avalanche form

Colorado Avalanche have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 69 goals scored and 60 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Toronto Maple Leafs won 2, Colorado Avalanche won 1. Last time out it finished Colorado Avalanche 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 6.

Our call

We expect Colorado Avalanche to score about 3.5 goals and Toronto Maple Leafs about 2.6. That points to Colorado Avalanche to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -467. Our bold bet is Maple Leafs to win at +206.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Maple LeafsAvalanche
Games played2020
Wins109
Losses1011
Goals scored7469
Goals conceded6460
Scored per game3.73.5
Conceded per game3.23.0
Home record5W 5L7W 3L
Away record5W 5L2W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Maple Leafs spreadCoversFair
Maple Leafs -0.528%+256
Maple Leafs +0.543%+130
Maple Leafs +1.560%-150
Total goalsOverUnder
5.561%39%
6.544%56%
7.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Maple Leafs +3.5 wins if Maple Leafs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Dave Hakstol in Talks for Arizona State Head Coaching Job

Arizona State is in discussions with Avalanche assistant Dave Hakstol about its head coaching vacancy, with a decision expected this week.

12 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Our prediction for Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 67% chance. We project Colorado Avalanche 3.5 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.6. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -467.

What is the projected score for Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

We project Colorado Avalanche 3.5 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.6, about 6.2 goals in total.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 74 goals scored and 64 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Colorado Avalanche playing?

Colorado Avalanche have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 69 goals scored and 60 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Toronto Maple Leafs and Colorado Avalanche last met?

It ended Colorado Avalanche 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 6. In the last 3 meetings Toronto Maple Leafs won 2 and Colorado Avalanche won 1.

What is the best bet for Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Under 8 goals at -467, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Maple Leafs against Avalanche. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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