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Predictions › United States › Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire FC
MLSSat 31 Oct, 21:30 United States time

Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire FC prediction

Dick's Sporting Goods Park

Colorado RapidsHome
1.62 : 1.29
expected goals
Chicago Fire FCAway
45%Colorado
26%Draw
30%Chicago
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-372

Quick answer

Our prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire FC is Colorado Rapids to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -372.

Prediction
Colorado Rapids to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Colorado Rapids 1.6, Chicago Fire FC 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -372
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price -3722 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Colorado Rapids to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price +2541 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colorado Rapids 45%, the draw 26% and Chicago Fire FC 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Colorado Rapids took 4 points from their last 5 games and Chicago Fire FC took 9 from 5. Chicago Fire FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Colorado Rapids won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Chicago Fire FC won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Colorado Rapids score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.1. Chicago Fire FC score 1.6 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Colorado Rapids games and 15 of Chicago Fire FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Coloradorecent form-1%
  • Chicagorecent form+3%
Colorado form D D D L DChicago form D L W W WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire FC: Colorado Rapids shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Colorado Rapids host Chicago Fire FC in the MLS on Sat 31 Oct, 21:30 at Dick's Sporting Goods Park. Our prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire FC is Colorado Rapids to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -372.

Colorado Rapids form

Colorado Rapids have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, D, newest first.

Chicago Fire FC form

Chicago Fire FC have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Colorado Rapids to score about 1.6 goals and Chicago Fire FC about 1.3. That points to Colorado Rapids to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -372. Our bold bet is Colorado Rapids to win and Over 2.5 at +254.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ColoradoChicago
Games played2020
Wins79
Draws54
Losses87
Goals scored1933
Goals conceded2333
Scored per game0.91.6
Conceded per game1.11.6
Home record6W 3D 2L5W 1D 3L
Away record1W 2D 6L4W 3D 4L
Clean sheets40%10%
Both teams scored35%80%
Over 2.5 goals35%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%-385
Over 2.5 goals56%-125
Over 3.5 goals33%+201
Both teams to score59%-143
Colorado Rapids or Draw70%-237
Chicago Fire FC or Draw55%-124
Colorado Rapids to win and Over 2.529%+242
Chicago Fire FC to win and Over 2.519%+431
Colorado Rapids clean sheet28%+262
Chicago Fire FC clean sheet20%+407

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
2-19.2%
1-08.2%
1-27.3%
2-07.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire FC?

Our prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire FC is Colorado Rapids to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -372.

What is the score prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Colorado Rapids to score 1.6 goals and Chicago Fire FC 1.3.

Will both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire FC?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Colorado Rapids last 20 games and 16 of Chicago Fire FC last 20.

How are Colorado Rapids playing?

Colorado Rapids have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, D, newest first.

How are Chicago Fire FC playing?

Chicago Fire FC have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire FC?

Over 1.5 goals at -372, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Colorado against Chicago. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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