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Predictions › United States › Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC
MLSWed 14 Oct, 21:30 United States time

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC prediction

Dick's Sporting Goods Park

Colorado RapidsHome
2.25 : 1.22
expected goals
Minnesota United FCAway
60%Colorado
21%Draw
19%Minnesota
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-524

Quick answer

Our prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC is Colorado Rapids to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -524.

Prediction
Colorado Rapids to win
Chance
60%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Colorado Rapids 2.3, Minnesota United FC 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -524
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price -5242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Colorado Rapids to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price +1331 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colorado Rapids 60%, the draw 21% and Minnesota United FC 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Colorado Rapids took 5 points from their last 5 games and Minnesota United FC took 0 from 5. Colorado Rapids come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Colorado Rapids won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Minnesota United FC won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Colorado Rapids score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. Minnesota United FC score 1.6 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Colorado Rapids games and 12 of Minnesota United FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Colorado Rapids won 1 and Minnesota United FC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Minnesota United FC 0, Colorado Rapids 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Coloradorecent form-1%
  • Minnesotarecent form-7%
Colorado form L D L W DMinnesota form L L L L LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC: Colorado Rapids are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Colorado Rapids host Minnesota United FC in the MLS on Wed 14 Oct, 21:30 at Dick's Sporting Goods Park. Our prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC is Colorado Rapids to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -524.

Colorado Rapids form

Colorado Rapids have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Minnesota United FC form

Minnesota United FC have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Colorado Rapids won 1, Minnesota United FC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Minnesota United FC 0, Colorado Rapids 1.

Our call

We expect Colorado Rapids to score about 2.3 goals and Minnesota United FC about 1.2. That points to Colorado Rapids to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -524. Our bold bet is Colorado Rapids to win and Over 2.5 at +133.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ColoradoMinnesota
Games played2020
Wins74
Draws36
Losses1010
Goals scored1932
Goals conceded2636
Scored per game0.91.6
Conceded per game1.31.8
Home record6W 1D 3L1W 5D 5L
Away record1W 2D 7L3W 1D 5L
Clean sheets40%15%
Both teams scored35%75%
Over 2.5 goals40%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%-644
Over 2.5 goals67%-206
Over 3.5 goals46%+119
Both teams to score63%-174
Colorado Rapids or Draw81%-420
Minnesota United FC or Draw40%+151
Colorado Rapids to win and Over 2.546%+119
Minnesota United FC to win and Over 2.514%+635
Colorado Rapids clean sheet30%+238
Minnesota United FC clean sheet11%+847

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.6%
1-19.1%
2-07.9%
3-17.2%
1-06.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC?

Our prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC is Colorado Rapids to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -524.

What is the score prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Colorado Rapids to score 2.3 goals and Minnesota United FC 1.2.

Will both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Colorado Rapids last 20 games and 15 of Minnesota United FC last 20.

How are Colorado Rapids playing?

Colorado Rapids have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Minnesota United FC playing?

Minnesota United FC have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United FC last met?

It ended Minnesota United FC 0, Colorado Rapids 1. In the last 2 meetings Colorado Rapids won 1 and Minnesota United FC won 0.

What is the best bet for Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC?

Over 1.5 goals at -524, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Colorado against Minnesota. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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