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Predictions › United States › Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes
MLSSat 10 Oct, 21:30 United States time

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction

Dick's Sporting Goods Park

Colorado RapidsHome
1.44 : 1.24
expected goals
San Jose EarthquakesAway
41%Colorado
27%Draw
32%San Jose
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-309

Quick answer

Our prediction for Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes is Colorado Rapids to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -309.

Prediction
Colorado Rapids to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Colorado Rapids 1.4, San Jose Earthquakes 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -309
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price -3092 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price +6701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colorado Rapids 41%, the draw 27% and San Jose Earthquakes 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Colorado Rapids took 5 points from their last 5 games and San Jose Earthquakes took 11 from 5. San Jose Earthquakes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Colorado Rapids won 6 of their last 10 games at home. San Jose Earthquakes won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Colorado Rapids score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. San Jose Earthquakes score 1.8 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Colorado Rapids games and 13 of San Jose Earthquakes games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Coloradorecent form-1%
  • San Joserecent form+4%
Colorado form L D L W DSan Jose form W D W W DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes: Colorado Rapids shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Colorado Rapids host San Jose Earthquakes in the MLS on Sat 10 Oct, 21:30 at Dick's Sporting Goods Park. Our prediction for Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes is Colorado Rapids to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -309.

Colorado Rapids form

Colorado Rapids have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

San Jose Earthquakes form

San Jose Earthquakes have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Colorado Rapids to score about 1.4 goals and San Jose Earthquakes about 1.2. That points to Colorado Rapids to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -309. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at +670.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ColoradoSan Jose
Games played2020
Wins77
Draws36
Losses107
Goals scored1936
Goals conceded2637
Scored per game0.91.8
Conceded per game1.31.9
Home record6W 1D 3L3W 3D 4L
Away record1W 2D 7L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets40%10%
Both teams scored35%80%
Over 2.5 goals40%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%-308
Over 2.5 goals50%-101
Over 3.5 goals28%+255
Both teams to score55%-122
Colorado Rapids or Draw68%-214
San Jose Earthquakes or Draw59%-145
Colorado Rapids to win and Over 2.525%+306
San Jose Earthquakes to win and Over 2.519%+432
Colorado Rapids clean sheet29%+247
San Jose Earthquakes clean sheet24%+321

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
1-09.1%
2-18.8%
0-17.8%
1-27.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our prediction for Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes is Colorado Rapids to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -309.

What is the score prediction for Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Colorado Rapids to score 1.4 goals and San Jose Earthquakes 1.2.

Will both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Colorado Rapids last 20 games and 16 of San Jose Earthquakes last 20.

How are Colorado Rapids playing?

Colorado Rapids have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

How are San Jose Earthquakes playing?

San Jose Earthquakes have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Over 1.5 goals at -309, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Colorado against San Jose. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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