Predictions › United States › Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps
MLSSat 24 Oct, 20:30 United States time

Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction

Dick's Sporting Goods Park

Colorado RapidsHome
1.15 : 1.25
expected goals
Vancouver WhitecapsAway
33%Colorado
29%Draw
38%Vancouver
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
-327

Quick answer

Our prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -327.

Prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Colorado Rapids 1.1, Vancouver Whitecaps 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at -327
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price -3272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price +6241 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colorado Rapids 33%, the draw 29% and Vancouver Whitecaps 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Colorado Rapids took 6 points from their last 5 games and Vancouver Whitecaps took 6 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Colorado Rapids won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Vancouver Whitecaps won 5 of their last 13 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Colorado Rapids score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.3. Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.8 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Colorado Rapids games and 11 of Vancouver Whitecaps games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Colorado Rapids won 0 and Vancouver Whitecaps won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Vancouver Whitecaps 3, Colorado Rapids 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Coloradorecent form-3%
  • Coloradorest between games-5%
  • Vancouverrest between games-5%
Colorado form D D L D LVancouver form D D L D WHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps: Vancouver Whitecaps shade it

The big picture

Colorado Rapids host Vancouver Whitecaps in the MLS on Sat 24 Oct, 20:30 at Dick's Sporting Goods Park. Our prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -327.

Colorado Rapids form

Colorado Rapids have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Vancouver Whitecaps form

Vancouver Whitecaps have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Colorado Rapids won 0, Vancouver Whitecaps won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Vancouver Whitecaps 3, Colorado Rapids 1.

Our call

We expect Colorado Rapids to score about 1.1 goals and Vancouver Whitecaps about 1.3. That points to Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at -327. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at +624.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ColoradoVancouver
Games played2020
Wins77
Draws47
Losses96
Goals scored2036
Goals conceded2625
Scored per game1.01.8
Conceded per game1.31.3
Home record6W 3D 2L2W 2D 3L
Away record1W 1D 7L5W 5D 3L
Clean sheets35%35%
Both teams scored40%55%
Over 2.5 goals40%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%-234
Over 2.5 goals43%+132
Over 3.5 goals22%+350
Both teams to score50%+101
Colorado Rapids or Draw62%-165
Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw67%-202
Colorado Rapids to win and Over 2.517%+474
Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.520%+395
Colorado Rapids clean sheet29%+249
Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet32%+217

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.8%
0-110.5%
0-09.8%
1-09.6%
1-28.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Our prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at -327.

What is the score prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Colorado Rapids to score 1.1 goals and Vancouver Whitecaps 1.3.

Will both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Colorado Rapids last 20 games and 11 of Vancouver Whitecaps last 20.

How are Colorado Rapids playing?

Colorado Rapids have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Vancouver Whitecaps playing?

Vancouver Whitecaps have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Colorado Rapids and Vancouver Whitecaps last met?

It ended Vancouver Whitecaps 3, Colorado Rapids 1. In the last 1 meeting Colorado Rapids won 0 and Vancouver Whitecaps won 1.

What is the best bet for Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Under 3.5 goals at -327, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Colorado against Vancouver. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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