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Predictions › United States › Columbus Blue Jackets vs Toronto Maple Leafs
NHLSat 21 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Columbus Blue Jackets vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction

Scotiabank Arena

Columbus Blue JacketsAway
3.1 : 3.0
projected goals
Toronto Maple LeafsHome
55%Blue Jackets
45%Maple Leafs
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-478

Quick answer

Our prediction for Columbus Blue Jackets vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Columbus Blue Jackets to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Columbus Blue Jackets 3.1 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -478.

Prediction
Columbus Blue Jackets to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Columbus Blue Jackets 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Projected total
6.1 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -478

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
83% chanceFair price -4782 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toronto Maple Leafs 45% and Columbus Blue Jackets 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 1 of their last 5 and Columbus Blue Jackets won 2 of their last 5. Columbus Blue Jackets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 4 of their last 12 games at home. Columbus Blue Jackets won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Toronto Maple Leafs score 3.4 goals a game and let in 3.5. Columbus Blue Jackets score 2.5 and let in 2.9. Their recent games average 6.8 and 5.5 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Toronto Maple Leafs won 2 and Columbus Blue Jackets won 2. The last one ended Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 6.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Maple Leafsrest between games-5%
  • Blue Jacketsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Columbus Blue Jackets vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Columbus Blue Jackets shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Toronto Maple Leafs host Columbus Blue Jackets in the NHL on Sat 21 Nov, 19:00 at Scotiabank Arena. Our prediction for Columbus Blue Jackets vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Columbus Blue Jackets to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Columbus Blue Jackets 3.1 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -478.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 67 goals scored and 70 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 8 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Columbus Blue Jackets form

Columbus Blue Jackets have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 58 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Toronto Maple Leafs won 2, Columbus Blue Jackets won 2. Last time out it finished Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 6.

Our call

We expect Columbus Blue Jackets to score about 3.1 goals and Toronto Maple Leafs about 3.0. That points to Columbus Blue Jackets to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -478.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Maple LeafsBlue Jackets
Games played2020
Wins810
Losses1210
Goals scored6751
Goals conceded7058
Scored per game3.42.5
Conceded per game3.52.9
Home record4W 8L8W 4L
Away record4W 4L2W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Maple Leafs spreadCoversFair
Maple Leafs -0.540%+148
Maple Leafs +0.557%-132
Maple Leafs +1.572%-260
Total goalsOverUnder
5.560%40%
6.543%57%
7.527%73%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Maple Leafs +3.5 wins if Maple Leafs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Columbus Blue Jackets vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Our prediction for Columbus Blue Jackets vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Columbus Blue Jackets to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Columbus Blue Jackets 3.1 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -478.

What is the projected score for Columbus Blue Jackets vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

We project Columbus Blue Jackets 3.1 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.0, about 6.1 goals in total.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 67 goals scored and 70 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 8 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Columbus Blue Jackets playing?

Columbus Blue Jackets have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 58 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Toronto Maple Leafs and Columbus Blue Jackets last met?

It ended Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 6. In the last 4 meetings Toronto Maple Leafs won 2 and Columbus Blue Jackets won 2.

What is the best bet for Columbus Blue Jackets vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Under 8 goals at -478, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Maple Leafs against Blue Jackets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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