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Predictions › United States › Columbus Crew vs Charlotte FC
MLSWed 14 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte FC prediction

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field

Columbus CrewHome
1.50 : 1.39
expected goals
Charlotte FCAway
39%Columbus
26%Draw
35%Charlotte
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-333

Quick answer

Our prediction for Columbus Crew vs Charlotte FC is Columbus Crew to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -333.

Prediction
Columbus Crew to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Columbus Crew 1.5, Charlotte FC 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -333
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price -3332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Columbus Crew to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price +2991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Columbus Crew 39%, the draw 26% and Charlotte FC 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Columbus Crew took 9 points from their last 5 games and Charlotte FC took 8 from 5. Columbus Crew come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Columbus Crew won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Charlotte FC won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Columbus Crew score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.6. Charlotte FC score 1.7 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Columbus Crew games and 13 of Charlotte FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Columbus Crew won 0 and Charlotte FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Charlotte FC 3, Columbus Crew 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Columbusrecent form+1%
  • Charlotterecent form+1%
Columbus form W W W L LCharlotte form L W D W DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte FC: Columbus Crew shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Columbus Crew host Charlotte FC in the MLS on Wed 14 Oct, 19:30 at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field. Our prediction for Columbus Crew vs Charlotte FC is Columbus Crew to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -333.

Columbus Crew form

Columbus Crew have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Charlotte FC form

Charlotte FC have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Columbus Crew won 0, Charlotte FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Charlotte FC 3, Columbus Crew 1.

Our call

We expect Columbus Crew to score about 1.5 goals and Charlotte FC about 1.4. That points to Columbus Crew to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -333. Our bold bet is Columbus Crew to win and Over 2.5 at +299.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ColumbusCharlotte
Games played2020
Wins79
Draws25
Losses116
Goals scored3034
Goals conceded3329
Scored per game1.51.7
Conceded per game1.61.4
Home record6W 0D 5L4W 3D 2L
Away record1W 2D 6L5W 2D 4L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored70%65%
Over 2.5 goals75%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%-379
Over 2.5 goals55%-124
Over 3.5 goals33%+204
Both teams to score59%-145
Columbus Crew or Draw65%-190
Charlotte FC or Draw61%-154
Columbus Crew to win and Over 2.525%+292
Charlotte FC to win and Over 2.522%+352
Columbus Crew clean sheet25%+303
Charlotte FC clean sheet22%+349

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
2-18.7%
1-28.1%
1-07.6%
0-17.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Columbus Crew vs Charlotte FC?

Our prediction for Columbus Crew vs Charlotte FC is Columbus Crew to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -333.

What is the score prediction for Columbus Crew vs Charlotte FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Columbus Crew to score 1.5 goals and Charlotte FC 1.4.

Will both teams score in Columbus Crew vs Charlotte FC?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Columbus Crew last 20 games and 13 of Charlotte FC last 20.

How are Columbus Crew playing?

Columbus Crew have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Charlotte FC playing?

Charlotte FC have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Columbus Crew and Charlotte FC last met?

It ended Charlotte FC 3, Columbus Crew 1. In the last 1 meeting Columbus Crew won 0 and Charlotte FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Columbus Crew vs Charlotte FC?

Over 1.5 goals at -333, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Columbus against Charlotte. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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