Predictions › United States › Columbus Crew vs D.C. United
MLSSat 31 Oct, 14:00 United States time

Columbus Crew vs D.C. United prediction

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field

Columbus CrewHome
1.94 : 1.07
expected goals
D.C. UnitedAway
57%Columbus
23%Draw
20%D.C. United
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-405

Quick answer

Our prediction for Columbus Crew vs D.C. United is Columbus Crew to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -405.

Prediction
Columbus Crew to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Columbus Crew 1.9, D.C. United 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -405
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price -4052 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Columbus Crew to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price +1551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Columbus Crew 57%, the draw 23% and D.C. United 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Columbus Crew took 12 points from their last 5 games and D.C. United took 4 from 5. Columbus Crew come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Columbus Crew won 5 of their last 10 games at home. D.C. United won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Columbus Crew score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.7. D.C. United score 1.4 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Columbus Crew games and 14 of D.C. United games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Columbus Crew won 0 and D.C. United won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended D.C. United 2, Columbus Crew 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Columbusrecent form+3%
  • D.C. Unitedrecent form-1%
Columbus form D W L W WD.C. United form D W L D LHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Columbus Crew vs D.C. United: Columbus Crew are favourites

The big picture

Columbus Crew host D.C. United in the MLS on Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field. Our prediction for Columbus Crew vs D.C. United is Columbus Crew to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -405.

Columbus Crew form

Columbus Crew have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

D.C. United form

D.C. United have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Columbus Crew won 0, D.C. United won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished D.C. United 2, Columbus Crew 1.

Our call

We expect Columbus Crew to score about 1.9 goals and D.C. United about 1.1. That points to Columbus Crew to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -405. Our bold bet is Columbus Crew to win and Over 2.5 at +155.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ColumbusD.C. United
Games played2020
Wins75
Draws29
Losses116
Goals scored3229
Goals conceded3438
Scored per game1.61.4
Conceded per game1.71.9
Home record5W 0D 5L4W 5D 3L
Away record2W 2D 6L1W 4D 3L
Clean sheets20%15%
Both teams scored70%75%
Over 2.5 goals75%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%-421
Over 2.5 goals58%-137
Over 3.5 goals35%+182
Both teams to score57%-132
Columbus Crew or Draw80%-403
D.C. United or Draw43%+133
Columbus Crew to win and Over 2.539%+158
D.C. United to win and Over 2.512%+708
Columbus Crew clean sheet34%+191
D.C. United clean sheet14%+595

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.9%
2-19.9%
2-09.3%
1-09.0%
3-16.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Columbus Crew vs D.C. United?

Our prediction for Columbus Crew vs D.C. United is Columbus Crew to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -405.

What is the score prediction for Columbus Crew vs D.C. United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Columbus Crew to score 1.9 goals and D.C. United 1.1.

Will both teams score in Columbus Crew vs D.C. United?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Columbus Crew last 20 games and 15 of D.C. United last 20.

How are Columbus Crew playing?

Columbus Crew have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are D.C. United playing?

D.C. United have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Columbus Crew and D.C. United last met?

It ended D.C. United 2, Columbus Crew 1. In the last 1 meeting Columbus Crew won 0 and D.C. United won 1.

What is the best bet for Columbus Crew vs D.C. United?

Over 1.5 goals at -405, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Columbus against D.C. United. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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