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Predictions › United States › Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC
MLSSat 24 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC prediction

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field

Columbus CrewHome
1.62 : 0.73
expected goals
Toronto FCAway
58%Columbus
26%Draw
16%Toronto
Eagle safe pickColumbus Crew or Draw
-463

Quick answer

Our prediction for Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC is Columbus Crew to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Columbus Crew or Draw at -463.

Prediction
Columbus Crew to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Columbus Crew 1.6, Toronto FC 0.7
Best bet
Columbus Crew or Draw at -463
Both teams to score
42%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Columbus Crew or Draw
82% chanceFair price -4632 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Columbus Crew to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price +2511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Columbus Crew 58%, the draw 26% and Toronto FC 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Columbus Crew took 9 points from their last 5 games and Toronto FC took 4 from 5. Columbus Crew come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Columbus Crew won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Toronto FC won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Columbus Crew score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.7. Toronto FC score 1.4 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Columbus Crew games and 14 of Toronto FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Columbus Crew won 0 and Toronto FC won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Toronto FC 2, Columbus Crew 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Columbus Crew or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Columbusrecent form+3%
  • Torontorecent form-3%
  • Columbusrest between games-5%
  • Torontorest between games-5%
Columbus form D L W W WToronto form D W L L LHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC: Columbus Crew are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Columbus Crew host Toronto FC in the MLS on Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field. Our prediction for Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC is Columbus Crew to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Columbus Crew or Draw at -463.

Columbus Crew form

Columbus Crew have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Toronto FC form

Toronto FC have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Columbus Crew won 0, Toronto FC won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Toronto FC 2, Columbus Crew 1.

Our call

We expect Columbus Crew to score about 1.6 goals and Toronto FC about 0.7. That points to Columbus Crew to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Columbus Crew or Draw at -463. Our bold bet is Columbus Crew to win and Over 2.5 at +251.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ColumbusToronto
Games played2020
Wins74
Draws28
Losses118
Goals scored3228
Goals conceded3438
Scored per game1.61.4
Conceded per game1.71.9
Home record6W 0D 5L3W 5D 2L
Away record1W 2D 6L1W 3D 6L
Clean sheets20%10%
Both teams scored70%80%
Over 2.5 goals75%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%-220
Over 2.5 goals42%+140
Over 3.5 goals21%+374
Both teams to score42%+136
Columbus Crew or Draw84%-523
Toronto FC or Draw42%+138
Columbus Crew to win and Over 2.531%+226
Toronto FC to win and Over 2.57%+1289
Columbus Crew clean sheet48%+108
Toronto FC clean sheet20%+405

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.7%
2-012.5%
1-112.0%
0-010.2%
2-19.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?

Our prediction for Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC is Columbus Crew to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Columbus Crew or Draw at -463.

What is the score prediction for Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Columbus Crew to score 1.6 goals and Toronto FC 0.7.

Will both teams score in Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?

Both teams to score has a 42% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Columbus Crew last 20 games and 16 of Toronto FC last 20.

How are Columbus Crew playing?

Columbus Crew have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Toronto FC playing?

Toronto FC have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Columbus Crew and Toronto FC last met?

It ended Toronto FC 2, Columbus Crew 1. In the last 2 meetings Columbus Crew won 0 and Toronto FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?

Columbus Crew or Draw at -463, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Columbus against Toronto. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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