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Predictions › Peru › Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT
Peruvian Liga 1Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 Peru time

Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT prediction

Juan Maldonado Gamarra

Comerciantes UnidosHome
1.51 : 0.81
expected goals
ADTAway
53%Comer Unid
28%Draw
20%ADT
Eagle safe pickComerciantes Unidos or Draw
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT is Comerciantes Unidos to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Comerciantes Unidos or Draw at 1.25.

Prediction
Comerciantes Unidos to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Comerciantes Unidos 1.5, ADT 0.8
Best bet
Comerciantes Unidos or Draw at 1.25
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Comerciantes Unidos or Draw
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Comerciantes Unidos to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.761 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Comerciantes Unidos 53%, the draw 28% and ADT 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Comerciantes Unidos took 2 points from their last 5 games and ADT took 4 from 5. ADT come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Comerciantes Unidos won 3 of their last 9 games at home. ADT won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Comerciantes Unidos score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.5. ADT score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Comerciantes Unidos games and 11 of ADT games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Comerciantes Unidos won 0 and ADT won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended ADT 2, Comerciantes Unidos 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Comerciantes Unidos or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Comer Unidrecent form-3%
  • ADTrecent form-4%
Comer Unid form L L D L WADT form W L L L LHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT: Comerciantes Unidos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Comerciantes Unidos host ADT in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 at Juan Maldonado Gamarra. Our prediction for Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT is Comerciantes Unidos to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Comerciantes Unidos or Draw at 1.25.

Comerciantes Unidos form

Comerciantes Unidos have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, D, newest first.

ADT form

ADT have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Comerciantes Unidos won 0, ADT won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished ADT 2, Comerciantes Unidos 0.

Our call

We expect Comerciantes Unidos to score about 1.5 goals and ADT about 0.8. That points to Comerciantes Unidos to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Comerciantes Unidos or Draw at 1.25. Our bold bet is Comerciantes Unidos to win and Over 2.5 at 3.76.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Comer UnidADT
Games played2020
Wins44
Draws75
Losses911
Goals scored2521
Goals conceded3032
Scored per game1.31.1
Conceded per game1.51.6
Home record3W 4D 2L4W 2D 5L
Away record1W 3D 7L0W 3D 6L
Clean sheets15%20%
Both teams scored60%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.47
Over 2.5 goals41%2.44
Over 3.5 goals20%4.88
Both teams to score44%2.27
Comerciantes Unidos or Draw80%1.24
ADT or Draw47%2.12
Comerciantes Unidos to win and Over 2.528%3.61
ADT to win and Over 2.59%11.08
Comerciantes Unidos clean sheet44%2.26
ADT clean sheet22%4.51

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.1%
1-112.8%
2-011.1%
0-010.5%
2-19.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?

Our prediction for Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT is Comerciantes Unidos to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Comerciantes Unidos or Draw at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Comerciantes Unidos to score 1.5 goals and ADT 0.8.

Will both teams score in Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Comerciantes Unidos last 20 games and 11 of ADT last 20.

How are Comerciantes Unidos playing?

Comerciantes Unidos have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, D, newest first.

How are ADT playing?

ADT have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Comerciantes Unidos and ADT last met?

It ended ADT 2, Comerciantes Unidos 0. In the last 2 meetings Comerciantes Unidos won 0 and ADT won 1.

What is the best bet for Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?

Comerciantes Unidos or Draw at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Comer Unid against ADT. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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