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Predictions › Champions League › Como vs Manchester United
Champions LeagueWed 21 Oct, 16:45 UTC

Como vs Manchester United prediction

Giuseppe Sinigaglia

ComoHome
1.66 : 0.94
expected goals
Manchester UnitedAway
53%Como
26%Draw
21%Man United
Eagle safe pickComo or Draw
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Como vs Manchester United is Como to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Como or Draw at 1.30.

Prediction
Como to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Como 1.7, Manchester United 0.9
Best bet
Como or Draw at 1.30
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Como or Draw
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Como to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.351 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Como 53%, the draw 26% and Manchester United 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Como took 10 points from their last 5 games and Manchester United took 5 from 5. Como come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Como won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Manchester United won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Como score 1.9 goals a game and let in 0.8. Manchester United score 1.9 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Como games and 13 of Manchester United games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Como or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Comorecent form+3%
  • Man Unitedrecent form-1%
  • Comorest between games-5%
  • Man Unitedrest between games-5%
  • Man Unitedteam news-1%
Como form D L W W WMan United form D D L L WHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Como vs Manchester United: Como are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Como host Manchester United in the Champions League on Wed 21 Oct, 16:45 at Giuseppe Sinigaglia. Our prediction for Como vs Manchester United is Como to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Como or Draw at 1.30.

Como form

Como have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Manchester United form

Manchester United have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Como to score about 1.7 goals and Manchester United about 0.9. That points to Como to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Como or Draw at 1.30. Our bold bet is Como to win and Over 2.5 at 3.35.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ComoMan United
Games played2020
Wins1310
Draws45
Losses35
Goals scored3937
Goals conceded1725
Scored per game1.91.9
Conceded per game0.81.3
Home record6W 2D 1L7W 1D 3L
Away record7W 2D 2L3W 4D 2L
Clean sheets40%25%
Both teams scored55%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.08
Over 3.5 goals26%3.79
Both teams to score50%1.99
Como or Draw79%1.26
Manchester United or Draw47%2.15
Como to win and Over 2.532%3.16
Manchester United to win and Over 2.511%8.98
Como clean sheet39%2.57
Manchester United clean sheet19%5.24

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
1-011.6%
2-010.2%
2-19.6%
0-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Spurs Fight Back at Old Trafford as De Zerbi Sees Fresh Hope

Tottenham grabbed a late draw at Manchester United, giving manager Roberto De Zerbi something to build on during their trip to Spain.

7 hours ago
Premier League

Lammens Demands Fast Recovery After Late Draw Against Spurs

Manchester United goalkeeper Senne Lammens wants to bounce back quickly after dropping points against Tottenham.

7 hours ago
Premier League

Premier League Clubs Target Simeone and Lulli in Transfer Push

Manchester City, Manchester United, and Tottenham Hotspur are tracking Giuliano Simeone as top English clubs monitor talent across Europe.

10 hours ago

Questions people ask

Who will win Como vs Manchester United?

Our prediction for Como vs Manchester United is Como to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Como or Draw at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Como vs Manchester United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Como to score 1.7 goals and Manchester United 0.9.

Will both teams score in Como vs Manchester United?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Como last 20 games and 13 of Manchester United last 20.

How are Como playing?

Como have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Manchester United playing?

Manchester United have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Como vs Manchester United?

Como or Draw at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Como against Man United. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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