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Predictions › United States › Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics
WNBATue 22 Sept, 19:30 United States time

Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics prediction

CareFirst Arena

Connecticut SunAway
77.5 : 87.2
projected points
Washington MysticsHome
17%Sun
83%Mystics
Eagle safe pickMystics to win
-481

Quick answer

Our prediction for Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics is Washington Mystics to win, with a 83% chance. We project Connecticut Sun 77.5 and Washington Mystics 87.2. Our best bet is Mystics to win at -481.

Prediction
Washington Mystics to win
Chance
83%
Projected score
Connecticut Sun 78, Washington Mystics 87
Projected total
164.7 points
Best bet
Mystics to win at -481

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mystics to win
83% chanceFair price -4812 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington Mystics 83% and Connecticut Sun 17%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington Mystics won 3 of their last 5 and Connecticut Sun won 1 of their last 5. Washington Mystics come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington Mystics won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Connecticut Sun won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington Mystics score 84.5 points a game and let in 81.5. Connecticut Sun score 78.5 and let in 89.0. Their recent games average 166.1 and 167.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Washington Mystics won 2 and Connecticut Sun won 1. The last one ended Washington Mystics 92, Connecticut Sun 84.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Mystics to win has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics: Washington Mystics are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Washington Mystics host Connecticut Sun in the WNBA on Tue 22 Sept, 19:30 at CareFirst Arena. Our prediction for Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics is Washington Mystics to win, with a 83% chance. We project Connecticut Sun 77.5 and Washington Mystics 87.2. Our best bet is Mystics to win at -481.

Washington Mystics form

Washington Mystics have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 1691 points scored and 1631 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Connecticut Sun form

Connecticut Sun have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 1569 points scored and 1779 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Washington Mystics won 2, Connecticut Sun won 1. Last time out it finished Washington Mystics 92, Connecticut Sun 84.

Our call

We expect Connecticut Sun to score about 77.5 points and Washington Mystics about 87.2. That points to Washington Mystics to win. Our safest bet is Mystics to win at -481.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MysticsSun
Games played2020
Wins146
Losses614
Points scored16911569
Points conceded16311779
Scored per game84.578.5
Conceded per game81.589.0
Home record9W 2L4W 5L
Away record5W 4L2W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Mystics spreadCoversFair
Mystics -15.530%+237
Mystics -12.540%+152
Mystics -9.551%-102
Mystics -6.561%-158
Mystics -3.571%-247
Total pointsOverUnder
158.566%34%
161.558%42%
164.551%49%
167.543%57%
170.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Mystics +3.5 wins if Mystics win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics?

Our prediction for Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics is Washington Mystics to win, with a 83% chance. We project Connecticut Sun 77.5 and Washington Mystics 87.2. Our best bet is Mystics to win at -481.

What is the projected score for Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics?

We project Connecticut Sun 77.5 and Washington Mystics 87.2, about 164.7 points in total.

How are Washington Mystics playing?

Washington Mystics have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 1691 points scored and 1631 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Connecticut Sun playing?

Connecticut Sun have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 1569 points scored and 1779 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Washington Mystics and Connecticut Sun last met?

It ended Washington Mystics 92, Connecticut Sun 84. In the last 3 meetings Washington Mystics won 2 and Connecticut Sun won 1.

What is the best bet for Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics?

Mystics to win at -481, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mystics against Sun. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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