Predictions › Chile › Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo

Chilean Primera DivisionSun 11 Oct, 18:00 Chile time

Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo prediction

Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso

Coquimbo UnidoHome

1.16 : 1.40

expected goals

Colo ColoAway

30%Coquimbo

28%Draw

42%Colo Colo

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo is Colo Colo to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction: Colo Colo to win
Chance: 42%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Coquimbo Unido 1.2, Colo Colo 1.4
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score: 52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

75% chanceFair price 1.332 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 7.511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Coquimbo Unido 30%, the draw 28% and Colo Colo 42%. The bookmakers agree and make Colo Colo the favourite at 2.25.
2
Recent form
Coquimbo Unido took 3 points from their last 5 games and Colo Colo took 9 from 5. Colo Colo come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Coquimbo Unido won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Colo Colo won 9 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Coquimbo Unido score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Colo Colo score 2.2 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Coquimbo Unido games and 12 of Colo Colo games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Coquimbo Unido won 1 and Colo Colo won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Colo Colo 3, Coquimbo Unido 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Coquimborecent form-1%
Colo Colorecent form+3%

Coquimbo form W L L L WColo Colo form W W D D DHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo: Colo Colo shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Coquimbo Unido host Colo Colo in the Chilean Primera Division on Sun 11 Oct, 18:00 at Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso. Our prediction for Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo is Colo Colo to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Coquimbo Unido form

Coquimbo Unido have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Colo Colo form

Colo Colo have 15 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Coquimbo Unido won 1, Colo Colo won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Colo Colo 3, Coquimbo Unido 1.

Our call

We expect Coquimbo Unido to score about 1.2 goals and Colo Colo about 1.4. That points to Colo Colo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.51.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Coquimbo	Colo Colo
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	15
Draws	6	3
Losses	8	2
Goals scored	25	44
Goals conceded	27	19
Scored per game	1.3	2.2
Conceded per game	1.4	0.9
Home record	4W 3D 2L	6W 2D 2L
Away record	2W 3D 6L	9W 1D 0L
Clean sheets	25%	30%
Both teams scored	60%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Coquimbo Unido to win	30%	3.39	3.05	-10.0%
A Draw	27%	3.67	3.25	-11.5%
Colo Colo to win	39%	2.56	2.25	-12.0%
Over 2.5 goals	46%	2.19	1.87	-14.8%
Under 2.5 goals	49%	2.06	1.80	-12.6%
Coquimbo Unido +0.5	54%	1.85	1.59	-14.1%
Colo Colo -0.5	40%	2.50	2.10	-15.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	73%	1.37
Over 2.5 goals	47%	2.13
Over 3.5 goals	25%	3.94
Both teams to score	52%	1.91
Coquimbo Unido or Draw	58%	1.72
Colo Colo or Draw	70%	1.44
Coquimbo Unido to win and Over 2.5	17%	5.91
Colo Colo to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.17
Coquimbo Unido clean sheet	25%	4.04
Colo Colo clean sheet	31%	3.18

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%

0-110.1%

1-28.8%

0-08.5%

1-08.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo?

Our prediction for Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo is Colo Colo to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Coquimbo Unido to score 1.2 goals and Colo Colo 1.4.

Will both teams score in Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Coquimbo Unido last 20 games and 12 of Colo Colo last 20.

How are Coquimbo Unido playing?

How are Colo Colo playing?

What happened when Coquimbo Unido and Colo Colo last met?

It ended Colo Colo 3, Coquimbo Unido 1. In the last 2 meetings Coquimbo Unido won 1 and Colo Colo won 1.

What is the best bet for Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Coquimbo against Colo Colo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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