Predictions › Chile › Coquimbo Unido vs Everton CD

Chilean Primera DivisionSat 21 Nov, 15:00 Chile time

Coquimbo Unido vs Everton CD prediction

Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso

Coquimbo UnidoHome

1.60 : 1.22

expected goals

Everton CDAway

45%Coquimbo

26%Draw

29%Everton CD

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Coquimbo Unido vs Everton CD is Coquimbo Unido to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction: Coquimbo Unido to win
Chance: 45%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Coquimbo Unido 1.6, Everton CD 1.2
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score: 57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 1.282 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Coquimbo Unido to win and Over 2.5

29% chanceFair price 3.501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Coquimbo Unido 45%, the draw 26% and Everton CD 29%. The bookmakers agree and make Coquimbo Unido the favourite at 2.00.
2
Recent form
Coquimbo Unido took 9 points from their last 5 games and Everton CD took 7 from 5. Coquimbo Unido come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Coquimbo Unido won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Everton CD won 5 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Coquimbo Unido score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Everton CD score 1.7 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Coquimbo Unido games and 11 of Everton CD games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Coquimbo Unido won 0 and Everton CD won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Everton CD 1, Coquimbo Unido 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Coquimborecent form+4%
Everton CDrecent form-1%

Coquimbo form W W W L WEverton CD form L D L W DHome edge in this league 33% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Coquimbo Unido vs Everton CD: Coquimbo Unido are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Coquimbo Unido host Everton CD in the Chilean Primera Division on Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 at Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso. Our prediction for Coquimbo Unido vs Everton CD is Coquimbo Unido to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Coquimbo Unido form

Coquimbo Unido have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Everton CD form

Everton CD have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Coquimbo Unido won 0, Everton CD won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Everton CD 1, Coquimbo Unido 1.

Our call

We expect Coquimbo Unido to score about 1.6 goals and Everton CD about 1.2. That points to Coquimbo Unido to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Coquimbo Unido to win and Over 2.5 at 3.50.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Coquimbo	Everton CD
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	8
Draws	6	6
Losses	7	6
Goals scored	28	34
Goals conceded	23	27
Scored per game	1.4	1.7
Conceded per game	1.1	1.4
Home record	5W 3D 2L	3W 4D 4L
Away record	2W 3D 5L	5W 2D 2L
Clean sheets	35%	20%
Both teams scored	55%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Coquimbo Unido to win	43%	2.32	2.00	-13.8%
A Draw	25%	3.92	3.55	-9.5%
Everton CD to win	28%	3.56	3.35	-6.0%
Over 2.5 goals	49%	2.04	1.71	-16.0%
Under 2.5 goals	44%	2.27	1.95	-14.1%
Coquimbo Unido -0.5	44%	2.26	1.91	-15.4%
Everton CD +0.5	49%	2.05	1.74	-15.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	78%	1.28
Over 2.5 goals	54%	1.86
Over 3.5 goals	31%	3.19
Both teams to score	57%	1.75
Coquimbo Unido or Draw	71%	1.40
Everton CD or Draw	55%	1.83
Coquimbo Unido to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.44
Everton CD to win and Over 2.5	18%	5.71
Coquimbo Unido clean sheet	29%	3.40
Everton CD clean sheet	20%	4.96

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%

2-19.3%

1-08.8%

2-07.6%

1-27.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Coquimbo Unido vs Everton CD?

Our prediction for Coquimbo Unido vs Everton CD is Coquimbo Unido to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Coquimbo Unido vs Everton CD?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Coquimbo Unido to score 1.6 goals and Everton CD 1.2.

Will both teams score in Coquimbo Unido vs Everton CD?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Coquimbo Unido last 20 games and 13 of Everton CD last 20.

How are Coquimbo Unido playing?

How are Everton CD playing?

What happened when Coquimbo Unido and Everton CD last met?

It ended Everton CD 1, Coquimbo Unido 1. In the last 1 meeting Coquimbo Unido won 0 and Everton CD won 0.

What is the best bet for Coquimbo Unido vs Everton CD?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Coquimbo against Everton CD. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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