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Predictions › Chile › Coquimbo Unido vs Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera DivisionFri 30 Oct, 22:00 Chile time

Coquimbo Unido vs Unión La Calera prediction

Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso

Coquimbo UnidoHome
1.91 : 0.73
expected goals
Unión La CaleraAway
65%Coquimbo
22%Draw
13%Unión La Calera
Eagle safe pickCoquimbo Unido draw no bet
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Coquimbo Unido vs Unión La Calera is Coquimbo Unido to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Coquimbo Unido draw no bet at 1.21.

Prediction
Coquimbo Unido to win
Chance
65%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Coquimbo Unido 1.9, Unión La Calera 0.7
Best bet
Coquimbo Unido draw no bet at 1.21
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Coquimbo Unido draw no bet
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Coquimbo Unido to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.541 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Coquimbo Unido 65%, the draw 22% and Unión La Calera 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Coquimbo Unido took 6 points from their last 5 games and Unión La Calera took 5 from 5. Coquimbo Unido come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Coquimbo Unido won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Unión La Calera won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Coquimbo Unido score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Unión La Calera score 1.0 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Coquimbo Unido games and 13 of Unión La Calera games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Coquimbo Unido won 2 and Unión La Calera won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Unión La Calera 1, Coquimbo Unido 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Coquimbo Unido draw no bet has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Coquimbo form D W W L LUnión La Calera form D D D W LHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Coquimbo Unido vs Unión La Calera: Coquimbo Unido are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Coquimbo Unido host Unión La Calera in the Chilean Primera Division on Fri 30 Oct, 22:00 at Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso. Our prediction for Coquimbo Unido vs Unión La Calera is Coquimbo Unido to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Coquimbo Unido draw no bet at 1.21.

Coquimbo Unido form

Coquimbo Unido have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Unión La Calera form

Unión La Calera have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Coquimbo Unido won 2, Unión La Calera won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Unión La Calera 1, Coquimbo Unido 2.

Our call

We expect Coquimbo Unido to score about 1.9 goals and Unión La Calera about 0.7. That points to Coquimbo Unido to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Coquimbo Unido draw no bet at 1.21. Our bold bet is Coquimbo Unido to win and Over 2.5 at 2.54.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CoquimboUnión La Calera
Games played2020
Wins64
Draws66
Losses810
Goals scored2820
Goals conceded2833
Scored per game1.41.0
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record5W 3D 2L3W 3D 4L
Away record1W 3D 6L1W 3D 6L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored60%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.04
Over 3.5 goals27%3.69
Both teams to score45%2.25
Coquimbo Unido or Draw87%1.15
Unión La Calera or Draw35%2.84
Coquimbo Unido to win and Over 2.539%2.59
Unión La Calera to win and Over 2.56%15.72
Coquimbo Unido clean sheet48%2.07
Unión La Calera clean sheet15%6.72

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.1%
2-013.1%
1-110.6%
2-19.5%
3-08.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Coquimbo Unido vs Unión La Calera?

Our prediction for Coquimbo Unido vs Unión La Calera is Coquimbo Unido to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Coquimbo Unido draw no bet at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Coquimbo Unido vs Unión La Calera?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Coquimbo Unido to score 1.9 goals and Unión La Calera 0.7.

Will both teams score in Coquimbo Unido vs Unión La Calera?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Coquimbo Unido last 20 games and 11 of Unión La Calera last 20.

How are Coquimbo Unido playing?

Coquimbo Unido have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Unión La Calera playing?

Unión La Calera have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Coquimbo Unido and Unión La Calera last met?

It ended Unión La Calera 1, Coquimbo Unido 2. In the last 2 meetings Coquimbo Unido won 2 and Unión La Calera won 0.

What is the best bet for Coquimbo Unido vs Unión La Calera?

Coquimbo Unido draw no bet at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Coquimbo against Unión La Calera. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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