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Predictions › Spain › Córdoba vs Ceuta
LaLiga 2Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 Spain time

Córdoba vs Ceuta prediction

Estadio Municipal Nuevo El Arcángel

CórdobaHome
2.02 : 1.16
expected goals
CeutaAway
57%Córdoba
22%Draw
21%Ceuta
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Córdoba vs Ceuta is Córdoba to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
Córdoba to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Córdoba 2.0, Ceuta 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Córdoba to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 2.491 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Córdoba 57%, the draw 22% and Ceuta 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Córdoba took 9 points from their last 5 games and Ceuta took 4 from 5. Córdoba come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Córdoba won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Ceuta won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Córdoba score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.5. Ceuta score 0.9 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Córdoba games and 11 of Ceuta games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Córdoba won 1 and Ceuta won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Ceuta 3, Córdoba 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Córdobarecent form+3%
  • Ceutarecent form-1%
Córdoba form D W W L WCeuta form D L L D WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Córdoba vs Ceuta: Córdoba are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Córdoba host Ceuta in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 at Estadio Municipal Nuevo El Arcángel. Our prediction for Córdoba vs Ceuta is Córdoba to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Córdoba form

Córdoba have 11 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Ceuta form

Ceuta have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Córdoba won 1, Ceuta won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Ceuta 3, Córdoba 2.

Our call

We expect Córdoba to score about 2.0 goals and Ceuta about 1.2. That points to Córdoba to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Córdoba to win and Over 2.5 at 2.49.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CórdobaCeuta
Games played2020
Wins114
Draws16
Losses810
Goals scored3119
Goals conceded3036
Scored per game1.60.9
Conceded per game1.51.8
Home record6W 1D 3L2W 4D 5L
Away record5W 0D 5L2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored70%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.62
Over 3.5 goals39%2.54
Both teams to score60%1.66
Córdoba or Draw79%1.26
Ceuta or Draw43%2.31
Córdoba to win and Over 2.540%2.47
Ceuta to win and Over 2.514%7.27
Córdoba clean sheet31%3.19
Ceuta clean sheet13%7.57

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.3%
2-19.8%
2-08.5%
1-07.8%
3-16.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Córdoba vs Ceuta?

Our prediction for Córdoba vs Ceuta is Córdoba to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Córdoba vs Ceuta?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Córdoba to score 2.0 goals and Ceuta 1.2.

Will both teams score in Córdoba vs Ceuta?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Córdoba last 20 games and 12 of Ceuta last 20.

How are Córdoba playing?

Córdoba have 11 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Ceuta playing?

Ceuta have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Córdoba and Ceuta last met?

It ended Ceuta 3, Córdoba 2. In the last 2 meetings Córdoba won 1 and Ceuta won 1.

What is the best bet for Córdoba vs Ceuta?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Córdoba against Ceuta. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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