Predictions › Spain › Córdoba vs Eibar
LaLiga 2Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 Spain time

Córdoba vs Eibar prediction

Estadio Municipal Nuevo El Arcángel

CórdobaHome
1.01 : 1.58
expected goals
EibarAway
24%Córdoba
27%Draw
50%Eibar
Eagle safe pickEibar or Draw
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Córdoba vs Eibar is Eibar to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Eibar or Draw at 1.32.

Prediction
Eibar to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Córdoba 1.0, Eibar 1.6
Best bet
Eibar or Draw at 1.32
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Eibar or Draw
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Eibar to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.681 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Córdoba 24%, the draw 27% and Eibar 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Córdoba took 6 points from their last 5 games and Eibar took 12 from 5. Eibar come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Córdoba won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Eibar won 7 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Córdoba score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.7. Eibar score 1.9 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Córdoba games and 14 of Eibar games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Córdoba won 0 and Eibar won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Eibar 2, Córdoba 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Eibar or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Eibarrecent form+6%
  • Eibarrest between games-5%
Córdoba form D W L W LEibar form D W W W WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Córdoba vs Eibar: Eibar are favourites

The big picture

Córdoba host Eibar in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 at Estadio Municipal Nuevo El Arcángel. Our prediction for Córdoba vs Eibar is Eibar to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Eibar or Draw at 1.32.

Córdoba form

Córdoba have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Eibar form

Eibar have 14 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Córdoba won 0, Eibar won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Eibar 2, Córdoba 0.

Our call

We expect Córdoba to score about 1.0 goals and Eibar about 1.6. That points to Eibar to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Eibar or Draw at 1.32. Our bold bet is Eibar to win and Over 2.5 at 3.68.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CórdobaEibar
Games played2020
Wins914
Draws21
Losses95
Goals scored3038
Goals conceded3420
Scored per game1.51.9
Conceded per game1.71.0
Home record5W 2D 3L7W 0D 2L
Away record4W 0D 6L7W 1D 3L
Clean sheets10%50%
Both teams scored75%50%
Over 2.5 goals70%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%2.09
Over 3.5 goals26%3.84
Both teams to score51%1.96
Córdoba or Draw50%1.99
Eibar or Draw76%1.31
Córdoba to win and Over 2.513%7.81
Eibar to win and Over 2.529%3.42
Córdoba clean sheet21%4.84
Eibar clean sheet36%2.74

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
0-111.2%
1-29.4%
0-29.4%
0-08.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Córdoba vs Eibar?

Our prediction for Córdoba vs Eibar is Eibar to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Eibar or Draw at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Córdoba vs Eibar?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Córdoba to score 1.0 goals and Eibar 1.6.

Will both teams score in Córdoba vs Eibar?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Córdoba last 20 games and 10 of Eibar last 20.

How are Córdoba playing?

Córdoba have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Eibar playing?

Eibar have 14 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Córdoba and Eibar last met?

It ended Eibar 2, Córdoba 0. In the last 2 meetings Córdoba won 0 and Eibar won 1.

What is the best bet for Córdoba vs Eibar?

Eibar or Draw at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Córdoba against Eibar. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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