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Predictions › Spain › Córdoba vs Real Oviedo
LaLiga 2Sun 22 Nov, 13:00 Spain time

Córdoba vs Real Oviedo prediction

Estadio Municipal Nuevo El Arcángel

CórdobaHome
1.64 : 1.55
expected goals
Real OviedoAway
40%Córdoba
25%Draw
36%Real Oviedo
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Córdoba vs Real Oviedo is Córdoba to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Córdoba to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Córdoba 1.6, Real Oviedo 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Córdoba to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.641 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Córdoba 40%, the draw 25% and Real Oviedo 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Córdoba took 10 points from their last 5 games and Real Oviedo took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Córdoba won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Real Oviedo won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Córdoba score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. Real Oviedo score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Córdoba games and 11 of Real Oviedo games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Córdobarecent form+1%
  • Real Oviedorecent form-1%
Córdoba form D D L W WReal Oviedo form D L L D WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Córdoba vs Real Oviedo: Córdoba shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Córdoba host Real Oviedo in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 22 Nov, 13:00 at Estadio Municipal Nuevo El Arcángel. Our prediction for Córdoba vs Real Oviedo is Córdoba to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Córdoba form

Córdoba have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Real Oviedo form

Real Oviedo have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Córdoba to score about 1.6 goals and Real Oviedo about 1.6. That points to Córdoba to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Córdoba to win and Over 2.5 at 3.64.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CórdobaReal Oviedo
Games played2020
Wins106
Draws25
Losses89
Goals scored3221
Goals conceded3128
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.61.4
Home record6W 1D 3L2W 4D 4L
Away record4W 1D 5L4W 1D 5L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored70%45%
Over 2.5 goals70%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.62
Over 3.5 goals39%2.54
Both teams to score64%1.56
Córdoba or Draw64%1.55
Real Oviedo or Draw60%1.66
Córdoba to win and Over 2.528%3.58
Real Oviedo to win and Over 2.525%4.01
Córdoba clean sheet21%4.69
Real Oviedo clean sheet19%5.16

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.1%
2-18.6%
1-28.1%
2-26.6%
1-06.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Córdoba vs Real Oviedo?

Our prediction for Córdoba vs Real Oviedo is Córdoba to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Córdoba vs Real Oviedo?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Córdoba to score 1.6 goals and Real Oviedo 1.6.

Will both teams score in Córdoba vs Real Oviedo?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Córdoba last 20 games and 9 of Real Oviedo last 20.

How are Córdoba playing?

Córdoba have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Real Oviedo playing?

Real Oviedo have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Córdoba vs Real Oviedo?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Córdoba against Real Oviedo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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