EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Brazil › Corinthians vs Mirassol
BrasileiraoFri 30 Oct, 23:00 Brazil time

Corinthians vs Mirassol prediction

Neo Química Arena

CorinthiansHome
1.05 : 0.95
expected goals
MirassolAway
37%Corinthians
32%Draw
31%Mirassol
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Corinthians vs Mirassol is Corinthians to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
Corinthians to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Corinthians 1.1, Mirassol 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
41%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
14% chanceFair price 6.971 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Corinthians 37%, the draw 32% and Mirassol 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Corinthians took 1 point from their last 5 games and Mirassol took 8 from 5. Mirassol come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Corinthians won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Mirassol won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Corinthians score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.3. Mirassol score 1.1 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Corinthians games and 7 of Mirassol games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Corinthians won 1 and Mirassol won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Mirassol 2, Corinthians 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Corinthiansrecent form-6%
  • Corinthiansrest between games-5%
Corinthians form D L L L LMirassol form D L D W DHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Corinthians vs Mirassol: Corinthians shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Corinthians host Mirassol in the Brasileirao on Fri 30 Oct, 23:00 at Neo Química Arena. Our prediction for Corinthians vs Mirassol is Corinthians to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Corinthians form

Corinthians have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Mirassol form

Mirassol have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Corinthians won 1, Mirassol won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Mirassol 2, Corinthians 1.

Our call

We expect Corinthians to score about 1.1 goals and Mirassol about 0.9. That points to Corinthians to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.97.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CorinthiansMirassol
Games played2020
Wins57
Draws57
Losses106
Goals scored2022
Goals conceded2524
Scored per game1.01.1
Conceded per game1.31.2
Home record3W 2D 6L5W 3D 1L
Away record2W 3D 4L2W 4D 5L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals45%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals60%1.66
Over 2.5 goals32%3.09
Over 3.5 goals14%7.00
Both teams to score41%2.46
Corinthians or Draw69%1.45
Mirassol or Draw63%1.58
Corinthians to win and Over 2.516%6.39
Mirassol to win and Over 2.513%7.74
Corinthians clean sheet39%2.58
Mirassol clean sheet35%2.87

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-014.3%
1-114.3%
1-013.5%
0-112.0%
2-07.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Corinthians vs Mirassol?

Our prediction for Corinthians vs Mirassol is Corinthians to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Corinthians vs Mirassol?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-0. We expect Corinthians to score 1.1 goals and Mirassol 0.9.

Will both teams score in Corinthians vs Mirassol?

Both teams to score has a 41% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Corinthians last 20 games and 12 of Mirassol last 20.

How are Corinthians playing?

Corinthians have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Mirassol playing?

Mirassol have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Corinthians and Mirassol last met?

It ended Mirassol 2, Corinthians 1. In the last 2 meetings Corinthians won 1 and Mirassol won 1.

What is the best bet for Corinthians vs Mirassol?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Corinthians against Mirassol. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.