EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Brazil › Coritiba vs Vitória
BrasileiraoSat 31 Oct, 19:00 Brazil time

Coritiba vs Vitória prediction

Couto Pereira

CoritibaHome
1.72 : 1.05
expected goals
VitóriaAway
52%Coritiba
25%Draw
22%Vitória
Eagle safe pickCoritiba or Draw
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Coritiba vs Vitória is Coritiba to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Coritiba or Draw at 1.29.

Prediction
Coritiba to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Coritiba 1.7, Vitória 1.1
Best bet
Coritiba or Draw at 1.29
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Coritiba or Draw
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Coritiba to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.111 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Coritiba 52%, the draw 25% and Vitória 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Coritiba took 2 points from their last 5 games and Vitória took 5 from 5. Vitória come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Coritiba won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Vitória won 0 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Coritiba score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.9. Vitória score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Coritiba games and 10 of Vitória games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Coritiba won 0 and Vitória won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Vitória 4, Coritiba 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Coritiba or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Coritibarecent form-3%
  • Vitóriarecent form-1%
  • Vitóriarest between games-5%
Coritiba form D D L L DVitória form D L W L DHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Coritiba vs Vitória: Coritiba are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Coritiba host Vitória in the Brasileirao on Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 at Couto Pereira. Our prediction for Coritiba vs Vitória is Coritiba to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Coritiba or Draw at 1.29.

Coritiba form

Coritiba have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Vitória form

Vitória have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Coritiba won 0, Vitória won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Vitória 4, Coritiba 1.

Our call

We expect Coritiba to score about 1.7 goals and Vitória about 1.1. That points to Coritiba to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Coritiba or Draw at 1.29. Our bold bet is Coritiba to win and Over 2.5 at 3.11.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CoritibaVitória
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws54
Losses910
Goals scored2523
Goals conceded3731
Scored per game1.31.1
Conceded per game1.91.6
Home record4W 3D 3L6W 0D 3L
Away record2W 2D 6L0W 4D 7L
Clean sheets15%30%
Both teams scored55%45%
Over 2.5 goals65%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.91
Over 3.5 goals30%3.31
Both teams to score54%1.85
Coritiba or Draw78%1.29
Vitória or Draw48%2.10
Coritiba to win and Over 2.533%3.03
Vitória to win and Over 2.513%7.63
Coritiba clean sheet35%2.86
Vitória clean sheet18%5.58

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.0%
1-010.1%
2-19.7%
2-09.3%
0-06.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Coritiba vs Vitória?

Our prediction for Coritiba vs Vitória is Coritiba to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Coritiba or Draw at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Coritiba vs Vitória?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Coritiba to score 1.7 goals and Vitória 1.1.

Will both teams score in Coritiba vs Vitória?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Coritiba last 20 games and 9 of Vitória last 20.

How are Coritiba playing?

Coritiba have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Vitória playing?

Vitória have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Coritiba and Vitória last met?

It ended Vitória 4, Coritiba 1. In the last 1 meeting Coritiba won 0 and Vitória won 1.

What is the best bet for Coritiba vs Vitória?

Coritiba or Draw at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Coritiba against Vitória. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.